To assess how preoperative anaemia affects surgical outcomes in elderly patients within a resource-limited setting.
Prospective cohort study.
Two comprehensive specialised hospitals in Ethiopia.
Participants consisted of 224 patients aged 65 years and older who underwent surgery between 1 December 2024 and 29 March 2025.
Perioperative blood transfusions were the primary outcome. Secondary outcomes included intensive care unit (ICU) admission, risk of postoperative complications, prolonged hospitalisation, poor recovery quality and in-hospital mortality.
The anaemic group required transfusions of three or more units more frequently than the non-anaemic group (10.5% vs 2.6%; absolute risk difference 8.0%). Their perioperative transfusion rates were significantly higher (42.3% vs 18.4%; p
Preoperative anaemia significantly increases the risk of transfusion, poor recovery, ICU admission, prolonged hospitalisation and in-hospital mortality in older patients who underwent surgery. In resource-limited settings, improving perioperative outcomes should prioritise the early detection and treatment of anaemia.
Hospital patients are at an increased risk of falls, which are a significant safety concern within healthcare settings.1 Understanding how the COVID-19 pandemic has influenced fall risks is essential for identifying key factors that could inform future fall prevention strategies.2 This scoping review aims to explore the barriers and challenges associated with preventing inpatient falls in the context of the post-COVID-19 environment.
The methodology for this scoping review follows the framework established by Arksey and O’Malley. A comprehensive literature search will be conducted using specific keywords to identify relevant published studies. Searches will be performed across selected electronic databases, including PubMed/MEDLINE, CINAHL, Scopus, ProQuest and Web of Science, covering publications from 2014 to 2024. This review will focus on a global perspective. Two authors will independently screen titles and abstracts to identify potential studies for inclusion. Studies meeting the inclusion criteria will be retrieved for full-text review, and their references will be assessed for relevance using the same criteria. The PRISMA flow diagram will guide the review process. Data will be extracted, analysed and charted according to categories from the selected publications.
This scoping review will provide a comprehensive overview of the barriers and challenges in preventing inpatient falls in the post-pandemic context. The findings will be disseminated through submission for publication in a scientific journal.
This scoping review protocol is registered with Open Science Framework (OSF) available at https://osf.io/.
Falls are highly prevalent among individuals with dementia, largely due to the cognitive and physical impairments associated with the condition. Understanding the barriers and challenges to fall prevention in community-dwelling individuals with dementia is essential for developing tailored strategies that address their unique risks. Despite the existing evidence on fall prevention in older adults, few reviews specifically examine the obstacles faced by persons with dementia and their caregivers in community settings. This scoping review, therefore, aims to map the barriers and challenges to preventing falls among community-dwelling individuals with dementia.
This review will follow Arksey and O’Malley’s five-stage framework and be reported in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses—Extension for Scoping Reviews checklist. Six electronic databases (PsycINFO, PubMed, Web of Science, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, Scopus and Embase) will be searched for relevant studies published between 2014 and 2024. Grey literature sources, including dissertations and conference proceedings, will also be included. Data will be charted and synthesised thematically to provide an overview of barriers and contextual factors influencing fall prevention. The study commenced in August 2025 and is expected to be completed by February 2026.
As this review involves the analysis of existing literature, ethical approval is not required. Findings will be disseminated through peer-reviewed publications, conference presentations and summaries tailored for healthcare providers and caregiver groups.
The protocol is registered with the Open Science Framework: https://osf.io/gnw47/(dataset).
Early-onset chronic liver disease (CLD) and its subsequent clinical progression have systemic impact. Its trajectory coincides with critical periods of brain development. In this study, we will test the hypothesis that early-onset CLD is associated with neurodevelopmental and psychiatric symptoms and delineate their neurobiological underpinnings through multimodal neuroimaging.
This study will recruit 100 patients with biliary atresia and 50 patients with other types of early-onset CLD, aged between 6 and 30 years, under the primary care of Paediatric Liver Services at King’s College Hospital, London, UK. Cognitive performance and autism-related behaviours will be evaluated with neurodevelopmental assessments. Participants and their parents will complete questionnaires addressing neurodevelopmental and psychiatric outcomes in everyday life, and quality of life. Multimodal neuroimaging will be conducted using electroencephalography (EEG); eye-tracking; structural, functional and diffusion MRI; and magnetic resonance spectroscopy (MRS). Clinical information will be collected from patients’ medical records and bio samples. Data of 222 neurotypical controls and 307 neurodivergent controls without CLD will be pooled from the Longitudinal European Autism Project with a similar study protocol. Neurodevelopmental and psychiatric outcomes will be compared with normative values and between groups. Associations with clinical risk factors will be explored using multivariable regression. Neuroimaging markers will be compared between groups and associations with neurodevelopmental outcomes and clinical risk factors will be tested using multivariable regression. Individual deviation from normal brain development will be quantified using Bayesian modelling and will be associated with neurodevelopmental outcomes.
This study was approved by the National Health Service Health Research Authority’s ethical committee (REC reference: 22/PR/1587). Findings from this study will be published in peer-reviewed journals, presented at national and international conferences and shared with patients and their families for widespread dissemination of the results.
Surgical margins are crucial in determining postoperative local recurrence (LR) in patients with colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Achieving a margin greater than 1 cm can be challenging due to constraints related to remnant liver reserve, proximity to major vascular structures and tumour depth. We previously published findings from a retrospective study suggesting that additional margin coagulation (AMC) using radiofrequency may reduce LR, and this multicentre randomised clinical trial aims to further assess this hypothesis.
The LIVERATION trial is an international, multicentre, single-blind, randomised, parallel-group, controlled clinical trial involving 698 patients undergoing liver resection for CRLM or HCC. Participants will be randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to either AMC (study group) or conventional liver resection (control group) to assess oncological outcomes for both CRLM and HCC. The primary outcome is the incidence of LR. Secondary endpoints include overall survival, disease-free survival, cancer-specific survival, surgical complications and quality of life. Follow-ups occur at 30 days, 90 days, and 1, 2 and 3 years postoperatively.
The LIVERATION trial has been approved by the Ethics Committee at the sponsor site Hospital del Mar de Barcelona, CEIM-PSMAR (Comité de Ética de la Investigación con Medicamentos – Parc de Salut Mar), as well as by the Institutional Ethics Committees in all participating countries. The results of the main trial, along with each of the secondary endpoints, will be submitted for publication in a peer-reviewed journal. The study adheres to national and international guidelines, including the Declaration of Helsinki, and complies with regulations for studies involving biological samples under Law 14/2007 on Biomedical Research. A dissemination strategy has been developed to engage stakeholders and facilitate knowledge transfer to support the use of the findings of the study. LIVERATION is funded by the European Union under the Horizon Europe Framework Programme (Project Number: 101104360).
This study aimed to investigate the prevalence of brachydactyly type A3 (BDA3) and its associated epiphysial development abnormalities in Chinese children aged 3–17 years, and to explore differences based on gender, region and urban–rural demographics.
Cross-sectional study.
The study was conducted across 14 provinces (28 survey sites) in China, as part of a nationwide investigation on skeletal maturation. The population was selected using multistage stratified randomised cluster sampling.
A total of 17 850 children (8856 boys and 8994 girls) aged 3–17 years participated. The cohort was drawn from a large-scale survey conducted between 2019 and 2021. Selection criteria included children with no visible clinodactyly or hand function impairments.
Non-dominant hand-wrist radiographs were obtained using a portable X-ray device. A retrospective analysis of these radiographs was performed to identify BDA3 and epiphysial development abnormalities. Prevalence rates were calculated and compared across gender, regional and urban–rural groups.
The overall prevalence of BDA3 was 10.0%, with a higher prevalence in girls (12.9% vs 7.1%; p
This nationwide, multicentre study provides the first national epidemiologic data on BDA3 and associated epiphysial features in Chinese children and adolescents, establishing a prevalence of 10.0%. This baseline supports counselling that a straight, well-functioning short fifth finger is a common anatomic variant and may help reduce unnecessary concern.
To explore perceptions regarding the approved and actual prescribed doses of protein kinase inhibitors (PKIs) in clinical practice in the European Union among medicine regulators and healthcare professionals (HCPs).
A qualitative descriptive study was conducted using semistructured interviews, continuing until thematic saturation was reached. Thematic analysis was undertaken using a combined deductive-inductive approach. Deductive main analytical themes were derived from the theoretical framework of questioning-based policy design, namely problem sensing, problem categorisation and problem decomposition. Subthemes were generated inductively and could coherently be situated within these main analytical themes.
Interviews were held online or in person at a location convenient for the interviewee, depending on the participant’s preference.
Seven medicine regulators involved in the regulation of cancer medicines—including PKIs—and 10 HCPs prescribing PKIs in clinical practice, from various countries within Europe, were included.
Regulators highlighted insufficient attention to optimal dose finding, yielding approved doses often based on outdated maximum tolerated dose concepts, leading to uncertainties in efficacy and safety. HCPs reported using alternative dosing strategies in clinical practice to improve tolerability and quality of life (QoL) but noted a lack of robust evidence to guide such adjustments and faced legal constraints to deviate from the approved dose. Participants emphasised the need for improved pre-approval and post-approval dose optimisation to improve safety, enhance QoL and bridge gaps between trial data and real-world patient diversity.
Collaborative efforts involving multistakeholders including HCPs, regulators, pharmaceutical companies, insurers, governments and patient representatives are essential to advance dose optimisation and improve patient-centric outcomes, with further research needed to understand these stakeholders’ perspectives.
Fibrosis is a pathological feature that can occur in a wide range of diseases including diabetes mellitus. We investigated whether in people with type 1 (T1DM) or type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), glycaemia or diabetes-related complications are associated with fibrotic diseases.
Retrospective cohort study using UK Clinical Resource Datalink (CPRD) Aurum and Hospital Episode Statistics.
We included people with prevalent T1DM or T2DM as of 31 December 2015 (recorded in CPRD Aurum), eligible for linkage with Hospital Episode Statistics and followed up for 3 years.
We defined diabetes status using blood/urine biomarkers and complications. In the T2DM cohort, we also investigated exposures of hyperglycaemia, insulin resistance and metformin prescription. Fibrotic condition diagnoses were determined from both primary and secondary care records. Logistic regression analyses were undertaken to understand the strength of association between diabetes status/diabetic complications and fibrotic conditions, respectively.
The T1DM cohort consisted of 9669 people while the T2DM cohort included 504 066 people. In T1DM, we found that albuminuria was associated with lung fibrosis (ORadj: 2.07, 99% CI 1.35 to 2.17), and microvascular complications were associated with atherosclerosis (ORadj: 1.81, 99% CI 1.18 to 2.77) and cardiomyopathy (ORadj 1.53, 99% CI:1.15 to 2.04). In the T2DM cohort, both glycaemia above target and diabetes complications were associated with most fibrotic conditions.
Within the T1DM population, no consistent association between diabetes status and all fibrotic diseases was observed. More research is required to understand whether the association between diabetes complications and fibrotic diseases is due to shared risk factors or whether glycaemia in T2DM may be influenced by fibrotic pathology.
Assess the magnitude of adverse pregnancy outcomes and associated factors among mothers who had operative vaginal delivery in Amhara Region Comprehensive Specialized Hospitals, 2024.
A cross-sectional study was conducted from 1 November 2024 to 20 February 2025.
Seven comprehensive specialised hospitals were included in the study.
The study was employed on 389 mothers who had operative vaginal delivery.
Systematic sampling was used. Data were collected via questionnaires, chart reviews and observation. Data were entered into Epi Data V.4.6 and analysed using V.25 statistical package of social sciences. Variables with p
Adverse pregnancy outcomes of operative vaginal delivery.
Adverse pregnancy outcomes of operative vaginal delivery were 42.2%. Among them, 46 (11.8%) had only maternal complications, 55 (14.1%) had only neonatal complications and 63 (16.2%) had both maternal and neonatal complications. Perineal tear 29 (7.5%) and episiotomy extension 31 (8%) were the most common maternal complications, while caput succedaneum 45 (11.6%) was the most neonatal complication. The most common indication of operative vaginal delivery was prolonged second stage 203 (52.2%). Vacuum-assisted delivery (AOR 0.53; 95% CI 0.29 to 0.96), two tractions (AOR 2.19; 95% CI 1.23 to 3.90), birth weight less than 2.5 kg (AOR 1.85; 95% CI 1.21 to 2.83) and mid fetal station (AOR 2.9; 95% CI 1.49 to 5.64) were significantly associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes.
Adverse pregnancy outcomes following operative vaginal delivery were high. Type of instrumental vaginal delivery, number of tractions, fetal birth weight and fetal station were significantly increased risks. Therefore, operators should minimise traction attempts during operative vaginal delivery to reduce adverse outcomes.
Social determinants of health (SDOH) factors are known to influence patient outcomes, but their effect on sepsis remains insufficiently studied. This research aims to investigate the relationship between SDOH factors and sepsis outcomes, highlighting opportunities to reduce health disparities and enhance patient care.
Retrospective study.
Level I trauma centre in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, USA.
Patients with sepsis aged 18–89 years. Patients discharged or transferred to hospice were excluded to prevent bias and misinterpretation of the findings.
Social Vulnerability Index (SVI), the Gini Index and the average distance to the nearest urgent care, emergency department and clinic.
In-hospital mortality, 30-day readmission and hospital length of stay (LOS).
2 tests, Mann-Whitney U tests and Cox regression.
Distance from urgent care is significantly associated with mortality (4.14 vs 3.24 miles, p
Mortality and LOS are closely linked to proximity to urgent care, while high SVI is notably associated with longer LOS. These findings highlight the significant impact of SDOH factors on sepsis outcomes and underscore the need for targeted interventions to address disparities in healthcare access and contextual health practices.
This study aims to assess parents’ knowledge and attitude towards the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination of their daughters and the associated factors in Debre Tabor town, northwest Ethiopia.
A community-based cross-sectional study.
Debre Tabor town, Northwest Ethiopia.
A total of 702 participants were included in the study, with a response rate of 98.2%. Three out of the six kebeles in the town were randomly selected, and participants within the selected kebeles were recruited through a cluster sampling technique. An interviewer-administered structured questionnaire was used to collect data from 15 December 2021 to 15 February 2022.
Parents’ level of knowledge and attitude towards the HPV vaccination of their daughters, and the associated factors.
In the study, parents’ knowledge and attitude towards HPV vaccination were found to be 46.4% (95% CI 42.7% to 50.1%) and 61.5% (95% CI 58.0% to 65.2%), respectively. Parents with a higher level of education (adjusted OR (AOR)=2.27; 95% CI 1.39 to 3.69), media exposure (AOR=3.36; 95% CI 1.21 to 9.33) and a good attitude towards the HPV vaccine (AOR=8.81; 95% CI 5.78 to 13.44) were significantly associated factors that affect parents’ level of knowledge. Positive subjective norms (AOR=1.53; 95% CI 1.01 to 2.31) and perceived behavioural control towards the HPV vaccine (AOR=3.48; 95% CI 2.37 to 5.10) had statistically significant associations with parents’ attitude.
In this study, more than half of parents had poor knowledge of the HPV and its vaccination, while the majority of the participants showed a favourable attitude to the vaccine. Educational attainment, media exposure and a positive attitude were significantly associated with parental knowledge, and parents’ attitude was positively influenced by subjective norms and perceived behavioural control. This suggests a need to increase the parents’ level of awareness through educational interventions, particularly via media and community engagement. To improve the acceptance and uptake of the HPV vaccination, it is important to address negative attitudes and common misconceptions among parents on the safety, efficacy and necessity of the vaccine for their daughters.
The development of effective vaccines targeting human papillomavirus (HPV) has significantly contributed to disease prevention, highly relevant in immunosuppressed patients who have higher incidence of HPV-related cancers than their non-immunosuppressed counterparts. However, the acceptance and uptake of the HPV vaccine among immunosuppressed individuals pose unique challenges. Immunocompromised patients’ acceptance of the HPV vaccine is influenced by multifaceted factors, including concerns about safety and effectiveness, interactions with immunosuppressive medications and uncertainties due to their compromised immunity. This systematic review aims to identify the main factors influencing HPV vaccine acceptance among immunosuppressed patients.
A comprehensive search strategy will be executed across databases such as MEDLINE/PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, ScienceDirect, Latin American and Caribbean Literature in Health Sciences, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature and Cochrane Database. The review will encompass the three WHO-endorsed HPV vaccines (quadrivalent, bivalent and nonavalent) and will consider studies related to HPV vaccines and their administration. The scope includes study focusing on immunosuppressed patients who received organ transplants, cancer treatments or are HIV-positive. No temporal restrictions will be applied, and searches will be conducted until December 2025. Observational studies, including retrospective/prospective cohorts, case–control and cross-sectional studies, reporting factors influencing HPV vaccination in immunosuppressed populations will be included. Studies with overlapping patient populations will be excluded. Data extraction will include study details, demographics, vaccine type, risk/protective factors, outcomes and medical history. Validation and cross-verification will ensure data accuracy. Risk of bias will be assessed using ROBINS-I (Risk Of Bias In Non-randomised Studies of Interventions), and GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation) will rate evidence certainty. Meta-analysis, guided by Cochrane and PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) guidelines, will employ fixed/random-effects models, assessing heterogeneity using I² statistics.
This research will analyse previously published data, so ethical approval is not required. The results of the systematic review will be submitted for publication in a peer-reviewed journal.
CRD42023452537.
To assess the incidence of delirium and its predictors among adult patients admitted to the intensive care units of comprehensive specialised hospitals in the Amhara region of northwest Ethiopia from 18 October 2024 to 20 February 2025.
A multicentre prospective observational study was conducted.
Four comprehensive specialised hospitals in the Amhara region of northwest Ethiopia, from 18 October 2024 to 20 February 2025.
A total of 351 patients were included in the final analysis during the study period.
The primary outcome measure of this study was the incidence of delirium. Additionally, the study investigated the factors associated with delirium incidence among adult patients admitted to intensive care units.
The incidence of delirium among adult patients in intensive care units was 42.17% (95% CI: 37.08 to 47.42). Pain (adjusted HR (AHR) = 4.74; 95% CI: 2.38 to 9.44), mechanical ventilation (AHR = 2.96; 95% CI: 1.56 to 5.63), age 65 years or older (AHR = 2.18; 95% CI: 1.48 to 3.21) and agitation (Richmond Agitation-Sedation Scale (RASS) ≥1) (AHR = 3.26; 95% CI: 2.09 to 5.09) were statistically significant factors associated with delirium.
In the present study, more than one-third of patients developed delirium. Pain, mechanical ventilation, age 65 or older and agitation (RASS≥1) were significantly associated with delirium occurrence. To reduce the incidence of delirium, the current study recommends treating or preventing pain and agitation. Additionally, special attention should be given to patients receiving mechanical ventilation and those aged 65 or older during care.
Recent studies have demonstrated a beneficial role of steroids in severe community-acquired pneumonia, severe COVID-19 infection and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) of diverse aetiology. This multicentre randomised controlled trial in severe scrub typhus pneumonitis and ARDS will compare the effects of 6 mg of dexamethasone once per day with placebo, in addition to standard treatment, on ventilator-free days (VFD), mortality and ventilatory requirement.
The study, involving six sites, will recruit 440 patients with severe scrub typhus pneumonitis or ARDS to concealed, block-randomised, site-specific assignment of dexamethasone or placebo for 4–7 days. The primary outcome will be VFD, defined as days alive and free of ventilation at 28 days. Secondary outcomes will include 28-day mortality, need and duration of ventilation, and treatment failure, defined as death, or escalation of respiratory support from simple devices (nasal cannula, mask) to non-invasive or invasive ventilation, or the use of open-labelled steroids for worsening shock. The study will also ascertain if antinuclear antibody (ANA) expression during the acute phase of illness will predict steroid responsiveness. Subgroup analyses will be conducted a priori on ANA expression and the need for ventilation. All analyses will be conducted on an intention-to-treat basis. The trial, which commenced in April 2025, would clarify the role of corticosteroids in scrub typhus pneumonitis.
The Institutional Review Board and Ethics Committee of the lead site, Christian Medical College, Vellore, India, has approved the study (IRB Min No 15920 (INTERVE) dated 22 November 2023). The remaining five sites have obtained approval from their respective ethics committees. Study results will be published in an international peer-reviewed journal.
CTRI/2024/12/077709. Registered 5 December 2024.
To investigate discrepancies in perceptions regarding the accessibility and availability of rest and relaxation (R&R) spaces between hospital doctors in Scotland and NHS Scotland regional health boards (HBs), with the intention of informing best practices for organisational policy on the provision of R&R spaces both now and in the future.
A qualitative study, through an inhabited institutionalism (II) lens, of semi-structured interviews of hospital doctors across the career continuum in Scotland and all NHS regional HBs in Scotland providing written information relating to R&R space provision.
NHS Scotland during the COVID-19 pandemic and beyond.
Hospital doctors (n=30) who had participated in a larger qualitative study and provided specific insights on R&R spaces. All NHS Scotland regional HBs (n=14).
Although HBs reported the provision of R&R spaces, numerous doctors reported R&R spaces had been removed, relocated or were inaccessible. Furthermore, limited awareness of their availability attributed to inadequate communication, compounded the issue. This divergence between institutional reporting and front-line experience can be interpreted through the lens of II, which posits that institutional polices are often interpreted and implemented differently.
This study emphasises how crucial R&R spaces are to promoting doctors’ well-being especially during the time of high stress. HBs must not only guarantee the accessibility and physical availability of R&R spaces but also enhance their communication regarding the provision.
Cystic fibrosis (CF) is a genetic condition of impaired membrane electrolyte transport and is characterised by defects in the production and function of the cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) protein. Ground-breaking CFTR modulator therapy has resulted in a notable shift in the clinical presentation and progressive nature of CF, across both pulmonary and extrapulmonary systems. Access to CFTR modulator therapies in people with CF is occurring in a staged, descending age process, with clinical trials focusing primarily on safety and efficacy. There is a lack of robust, real-world longitudinal data on CFTR modulator therapy in infants and young children where extrapulmonary outcomes such as growth, micronutrient status and pancreatic function are the key focus.
Pancreatic, nutritional and clinical outcomes in children 0–5 years with CF during the first 2 years of CFTR modulator therapy (PaNC) is a prospective cohort study involving all eight tertiary paediatric CF centres in Australia. Infants and children 4 months to 5 years of age who are eligible for elexacaftor/tezacaftor/ivacaftor (ETI) or ivacaftor (IVA) meet the inclusion criteria for PaNC, with a total eligible cohort of 303 children at the commencement of recruitment. The primary outcomes are change in weight-for-length/body mass index z score and change in serum micronutrient status, at 6–12 monthly intervals, during the first 2 years of treatment with ETI or IVA. Secondary outcomes include change in exocrine pancreatic function, measured by faecal elastase-1, change in the use and dose of pancreatic enzyme replacement therapy, nutritional and gastrointestinal therapies and change in sweat chloride levels. Linear mixed modelling will be used to analyse primary and secondary endpoints. This protocol is reported in accordance with ‘The Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) Statement’ reporting guidelines.
Overarching governance and ethics approval has been granted by Monash Health Human Research Ethics Committee, in addition to all eight sites receiving site-specific authorisation approvals prior to the commencement of recruitment. Opportunities for CF consumers to be involved in targeted dissemination plans will be initiated via CF Australia at the completion of the study period. Additionally, a summary of non-identifiable results will be provided to CF consumers and CF healthcare providers via scientific and lay conferences and via peer-reviewed journals.
ACTRN12624001185550; Pre-results.
There is evidence for significant inequalities in morbidity and mortality due to cancer and other major non-communicable diseases (NCDs) both within and between European countries. Up-to-date evidence highlighting best practices for future policies is needed to reduce these inequalities.
The objective is to map and summarise published evidence on the impact of national and/or supranational policies on social inequalities in cancer and other NCDs, and their risk factors in Europe, and explore the nature and characteristics of these policies. The criteria for studies to be included are Population: any population group(s), whole population(s) or supranational population in Europe. Concept: any national or supranational policy directly targeting social inequalities in NCDs and/or their risk factors, or NCDs or their risk factors in general, while reporting effects on inequalities or targeting root causes of social inequality. Context: policies implemented by one or more governments or authorities in the WHO European region, in one or more sectors, and applied in a primordial, primary, secondary or tertiary prevention context. The policies may be universal, targeted or proportionate universal. The review will follow the Johanna Briggs Institute guidelines and the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) extension for scoping reviews. We will search 13 databases from 2008 up to present for eligible experimental or quasi-experimental studies in any language, and reference lists of relevant reviews and included studies. The databases for the main search will include MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane CENTRAL, Global Health, American Psychological Association (APA) PsycInfo, Cumulated Index in Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), Education Resources Information Center (ERIC), Web of Science Core Collection, Sociological Abstracts, Scopus, EconLit, The Social Interventions Research and Evaluation Network and FRANCIS. Study quality will be assessed using the Effective Practice and Organisation of Care (EPOC) risk of bias tool or the Risk of Bias in Non-Randomised studies of Interventions (ROBINS-I) tool depending on study design. Results will be synthesised narratively using descriptive statistics and visuals.
Ethical approval will not be sought as scoping reviews do not involve primary data collection or direct interaction with human participants. The results of this review, which is part of the JA-PreventNCD project, funded by the European Commission, and involving 25 European countries, will feed into one of the project’s deliverables, which comprises recommendations for policymakers based on the best available knowledge. We will also aim to present the results of the review at international conferences and publish the full review in an international peer-reviewed journal.
This protocol is registered on Open Science Framework (https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/H7MUW).
During the COVID-19 pandemic, a substantial decrease was observed in hospital admissions and in-hospital procedures for patients with acute cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). The extent to which measures to prevent COVID-19 transmission, for example, lockdowns, affected the outpatient care of patients at higher cardiovascular risk remains unclear. We aimed to compare outpatient department (OPD) attendance, cardiovascular risk management (CVRM) and cardiovascular health (CVH) of patients at higher cardiovascular risk referred to an OPD of a tertiary care centre between preCOVID-19, during and postCOVID-19 periods.
We included all adult patients at higher cardiovascular risk referred to the cardiology, vascular medicine, diabetology, geriatrics, nephrology or multidisciplinary vascular surgery OPDs of the University Medical Centre Utrecht, the Netherlands, between March 2019 and December 2022, in a prospective cohort study.
We assessed trends in the number of first and follow-up appointments and in the completeness of extractable CVRM indicators from the electronic health record (EHR) as a proxy for CVRM guideline adherence. CVH was determined using the Life’s Essential 8 metric (score 0–100, the higher score, the better). We investigated whether CVH differed between COVID-19 periods compared with the reference period (ie, 2019) and stratified by OPDs, using multivariable linear regression, adjusted for age, gender, CVD history and whether the patient had a previous appointment before the reference period.
Among 15 143 patients, we observed a 33% reduction in the weekly number of first appointments during the COVID-19 pandemic, with the largest reductions in the cardiology and nephrology OPDs, with no differences between women and men. Follow-up appointments conducted remotely, compared with before the COVID-19 pandemic, increased significantly for all OPDs. CVRM indicators were up to 11% less extractable during the first lockdown yet returned to prepandemic levels directly after the first lockdown period. The CVH score of patients visiting the nephrology, vascular medicine and geriatrics OPDs during the first lockdown was 11.23 (95% CI 2.74 to 19.72), 5.68 (95% CI 0.82 to 10.54) and 5.66 (95% CI 0.01 to 11.31) points higher, respectively, compared with the prepandemic period. In between the second and third lockdowns, the CVH score was comparable to the preCOVID reference period, yet for the cardiology OPD it was significantly higher (5.54, 95% CI 2.04 to 9.05).
During the COVID-19 pandemic, weekly numbers of first appointments to OPDs decreased, and a population with a higher CVH score (ie, better CVH) visited certain OPDs, especially during the first lockdown period. These suggest that patients with poorer CVH more often avoided or were unable to visit OPDs, which might have resulted in missed opportunities to control cardiovascular risk factors and potentially may have led to preventable disease outcomes. For future epidemics and pandemics, it seems vital to develop a strategy that includes an emphasis on seeking healthcare when needed, with specific attention to patients at higher CVD risk.
Ethiopia, the second most populous country in Africa, faces significant demographic transitions, with fertility rates playing a central role in shaping economic and healthcare policies. Family planning programmes face challenges due to funding limitations. The recent suspension of the US Agency for International Development funding exacerbates these issues, highlighting the need for accurate birth forecasting to guide policy and resource allocation. This study applied time-series and advanced machine-learning models to forecast future birth trends in Ethiopia.
Secondary data from the Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey from 2000 to 2019 were used. After data preprocessing steps, including data conversion, filtering, aggregation and transformation, stationarity was checked using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test. Time-series decomposition was then performed, followed by time-series splitting. Seven forecasting models, including Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average, Prophet, Generalised Linear Models with Elastic Net Regularisation (GLMNET), Random Forest and Prophet-XGBoost, were built and compared. The models’ performance was evaluated using key metrics such as root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and R-squared value.
GLMNET emerged as the best model, explaining 77% of the variance with an RMSE of 119.01. Prophet-XGBoost performed reasonably well but struggled to capture the full complexity of the data, with a lower R-squared value of 0.32 and an RMSE of 146.87. Forecasts were made for both average monthly births and average births per woman over a 10-year horizon (2025–2034). The forecast for average monthly births indicated a gradual decline over the projection period. Meanwhile, the average births per woman showed an increasing trend but fluctuated over time, influenced by demographic shifts such as changes in fertility preferences, age structure and migration patterns.
This study demonstrates the effectiveness of combining time-series models and machine learning, with GLMNET and Prophet XGBoost emerging as the most effective. While average monthly births are expected to decline due to demographic transitions and migration, the average births per woman will remain high, reflecting persistent fertility preferences within certain subpopulations. These findings underscore the need for policies addressing both population trends and sociocultural factors.
To estimate the direction and magnitude of socioeconomic inequalities in outcome, experience and care among adults consulting for a musculoskeletal pain condition.
Multicentre, prospective observational cohort with repeated measures at three waves (baseline, 3 months and 6 months after index consultation).
30 general practices in North Staffordshire and Stoke-on-Trent, England.
1875 consecutive, eligible, consenting patients, aged 18 years and over, presenting with a relevant SNOMED CT-coded musculoskeletal pain condition between September 2021 and July 2022.
Standard care.
Primary outcome was patient-reported pain and function using the Musculoskeletal Health Questionnaire (MSK-HQ score, 0–56). Secondary outcomes were patient experience (overall dissatisfaction with consultation experience, dichotomised) and an indicator of care received (opioid prescription within 14 days of index consultation). Using multilevel models, we examined inequalities in primary and secondary outcomes by area deprivation (Index of Multiple Deprivation derived from patient residential postcode), before and after adjusting for sociodemographic and survey administration variables, clinical case-mix and selected practice-level covariates.
Compared with patients from the least deprived neighbourhoods, patients from the most deprived neighbourhoods had significantly poorer MSK-HQ scores at baseline (mean 22.6 (SD 10.4) vs 27.6 (10.1)). At 6 months, the inequality gap in MSK-HQ score widened (difference in mean score after adjustment for all covariates: 1.94; 95% CI: –0.70 to 4.58). Opioid prescription was more common for patients living in the most deprived neighbourhoods (30% vs 19%; fully adjusted OR: 0.69; 95% CI: 0.44 to 1.08). Only 6% of patients overall reported being dissatisfied with their consultation. Analysis of multiply imputed data produced a similar pattern of findings to complete-case analysis.
Substantial inequalities in the chronicity, severity and complexity of musculoskeletal pain problems are already present at the time of accessing care. Inequalities in pain and function do not reduce after accessing care and may even widen slightly.
ISRCTN18132064; Results.