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Point-of-choice kilocalorie labelling practices in large, out-of-home food businesses: a preobservational versus post observational study of labelling practices following implementation of The Calorie Labelling (Out of Home Sector) (England) Regulations 2

Por: Polden · M. · Jones · A. · Essman · M. · Adams · J. · Bishop · T. · Burgoine · T. · Donohue · A. · Sharp · S. · White · M. · Smith · R. · Robinson · E.
Background and objectives

On 6 April 2022, the UK government implemented mandatory kilocalorie (kcal) labelling regulations for food and drink products sold in the out-of-home food sector (OHFS) in England. Previous assessments of kcal labelling practices in the UK OHFS found a low prevalence of voluntary implementation and poor compliance with labelling recommendations. This study aimed to examine changes in labelling practices preimplementation versus post implementation of mandatory labelling regulations in 2022.

Methods

In August–December 2021 (preimplementation) and August–November 2022 (post implementation), large OHFS businesses (250 or more employees) subject to labelling regulations were visited. At two time points, a researcher visited the same 117 food outlets (belonging to 90 unique businesses) across four local authorities in England. Outlets were rated for compliance with government regulations for whether kcal labelling was provided at any or all point of choice, provided for all eligible food and drink items, provided per portion for sharing items, if labelling was clear and legible and if kcal reference information was displayed.

Results

There was a significant increase (21% preimplementation vs 80% post implementation, OR=40.98 (95% CI 8.08 to 207.74), p

Conclusion

The number of large businesses in the OHFS providing kcal labelling increased following the implementation of mandatory labelling regulations. However, around one-fifth of eligible outlets sampled were not providing kcal labelling 4–8 months after the regulations came into force, and the majority of businesses only partially complied with government guidance. More effective enforcement may be required to further improve kcal labelling practices in the OHFS in England.

Preregistration

Study protocol and analysis strategy preregistered on Open Science Framework (https://osf.io/pfnm6/).

Cohort profile: the PERSIAN Dena Cohort Study (PDCS) of non-communicable diseases in Southwest Iran

Por: Harooni · J. · Joukar · F. · Goujani · R. · Sikaroudi · M. K. · Hatami · A. · Zolghadrpour · M.-A. · Hejazi · M. · Karimi · Z. · Rahmanpour · F. · Askari Shahid · S. · Jowshan · M.-R.
Purpose

This study conducted in Dena County is a population-based cohort study as part of the Prospective Epidemiological Research Studies in Iran (PERSIAN). The specific objectives of this study were to estimate the prevalence of region-specific modifiable risk factors and their associations with the incidence of major non-communicable diseases (NCDs).

Participants

This PERSIAN Dena Cohort Study (PDCS) was conducted on 1561 men and 2069 women aged 35–70 years from October 2016 in Dena County, Kohgiluyeh and Boyer-Ahmad Province, Southwest Iran. The overall participation rate was 82.7%.

Findings to date

Out of 3630 participants, the mean age was 50.16 years, 2069 (56.9%) were women and 2092 (57.6%) were rural residents. Females exhibited higher prevalence rates of diabetes, hypertension, fatty liver, psychiatric disorders, thyroiditis, kidney stones, gallstones, rheumatic disease, chronic lung disease, depression and osteoporosis compared with males (p126 mg/dL, low-density lipoprotein >100 mg/dL and haematuria, respectively; most of them were female and urban people (p

Future plans

PDCS will be planned to re-evaluate NCD-related incidence, all-cause and cause-specific mortality every 5 years, along with annual follow-up for 15 years. Some examples of additional planned studies are evaluation of genetic, environmental risk, spirometry and ECG tests.

Factors influencing pregnancy care and institutional delivery in rural Mali: a secondary baseline analysis of a cluster-randomised trial

Por: Ghosh · R. · Konipo · A. · Treleaven · E. · Rozenshteyn · S. · Beckerman · J. · Whidden · C. · Johnson · A. · Kayentao · K. · Liu · J.
Objective

The vast majority of the 300 000 pregnancy-related deaths every year occur in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. Increased access to quality antepartum and intrapartum care can reduce pregnancy-related morbidity and mortality worldwide. We used a population-based cross-sectional cohort design to: (1) examine the sociodemographic risk factors and structural barriers associated with pregnancy care-seeking and institutional delivery, and (2) investigate the influence of residential distance to the nearest primary health facility in a rural population in Mali.

Methods

A baseline household survey of Malian women aged 15–49 years was conducted between December 2016 and January 2017, and those who delivereda baby in the 5 years preceding the survey were included. This study leverages the baseline survey data from a cluster-randomised controlled trial to conduct a secondary analysis. The outcomes were percentage of women who received any antenatal care (ANC) and institutional delivery; total number of ANC visits; four or more ANC visits; first ANC visit in the first trimester.

Results

Of the 8575 women in the study, two-thirds received any ANC in their last pregnancy, one in 10 had four or more ANC visits and among those that received any ANC, about one-quarter received it in the first trimester. For every kilometre increase in distance to the nearest facility, the likelihood of the outcomes reduced by 5 percentage points (0.95; 95% CI 0.91 to 0.98) for any ANC; 4 percentage points (0.96; 95% CI 0.94 to 0.98) for an additional ANC visit; 10 percentage points (0.90; 95% CI 0.86 to 0.95) for four or more ANC visits; 6 percentage points (0.94; 95% CI 0.94 to 0.98) for first ANC in the first trimester. In addition, there was a 35 percentage points (0.65; 95% CI 0.56 to 0.76) decrease in likelihood of institutional delivery if the residence was within 6.5 km to the nearest facility, beyond which there was no association with the place of delivery. We also found evidence of increase in likelihood of receiving any ANC care and its intensity increased with having some education or owning a business.

Conclusion

The findings suggest that education, occupation and distance are important determinants of pregnancy and delivery care in a rural Malian context.

Trial registration number

NCT02694055.

Role of patient characteristics in adherence to first-line treatment guidelines in breast, lung and prostate cancer: insights from the Nordic healthcare system

Por: Sandström · N. · Leppälä · E. · Jekunen · A. · Johansson · M. · Andersen · H.
Objectives

This study investigates the influence of socioeconomic status, health literacy, and numeracy on treatment decisions and the occurrence of adverse events in patients with breast, lung, and prostate cancer within a Nordic healthcare setting.

Design

A follow-up to a cross-sectional, mixed-methods, single-centre study.

Setting

A Nordic, tertiary cancer clinic.

Participants

A total of 244 participants with breast, lung and prostate cancer were initially identified, of which 138 first-line treatment participants were eligible for this study. First-line treatment participants (n=138) surpassed the expected cases (n=108).

Interventions

Not applicable as this was an observational study.

Primary and secondary outcome measures

The study’s primary endpoint was the rate of guideline adherence. The secondary endpoint involved assessing treatment toxicity in the form of adverse events.

Results

Guideline-adherent treatment was observed in 114 (82.6%) cases. First-line treatment selection appeared uninfluenced by participants’ education, occupation, income or self-reported health literacy. A minority (3.6%) experienced difficulties following treatment instructions, primarily with oral cancer medications.

Conclusions

The findings indicated lesser cancer health disparities regarding guideline adherence and treatment toxicity within the Nordic healthcare framework. A causal connection may not be established; however, the findings contribute to discourse on equitable cancer health provision.

Personalised Exercise-Rehabilitation FOR people with Multiple long-term conditions (PERFORM): protocol for a randomised feasibility trial

Por: Simpson · S. A. · Evans · R. A. · Gilbert · H. R. · Branson · A. · Barber · S. · McIntosh · E. · Ahmed · Z. · Dean · S. G. · Doherty · P. J. · Gardiner · N. · Greaves · C. · Daw · P. · Ibbotson · T. · Jani · B. · Jolly · K. · Mair · F. · Ormandy · P. · Smith · S. · Singh · S. J. · Taylor · R.
Introduction

Personalised Exercise-Rehabilitation FOR people with Multiple long-term conditions (PERFORM) is a research programme that seeks to develop and evaluate a comprehensive exercise-based rehabilitation intervention designed for people with multimorbidity, the presence of multiple long-term conditions (MLTCs). This paper describes the protocol for a randomised trial to assess the feasibility and acceptability of the PERFORM intervention, study design and processes.

Methods and analysis

A multicentre, parallel two-group randomised trial with individual 2:1 allocation to the PERFORM exercise-based intervention plus usual care (intervention) or usual care alone (control). The primary outcome of this feasibility trial will be to assess whether prespecified progression criteria (recruitment, retention, intervention adherence) are met to progress to the full randomised trial. The trial will be conducted across three UK sites and 60 people with MLTCs, defined as two or more LTCs, with at least one having evidence of the beneficial effect of exercise. The PERFORM intervention comprises an 8-week (twice a week for 6 weeks and once a week for 2 weeks) supervised rehabilitation programme of personalised exercise training and self-management education delivered by trained healthcare professionals followed by two maintenance sessions. Trial participants will be recruited over a 4.5-month period, and outcomes assessed at baseline (prerandomisation) and 3 months postrandomisation and include health-related quality of life, psychological well-being, symptom burden, frailty, exercise capacity, physical activity, sleep, cognition and serious adverse events. A mixed-methods process evaluation will assess acceptability, feasibility and fidelity of intervention delivery and feasibility of trial processes. An economic evaluation will assess the feasibility of data collection and estimate the costs of the PERFORM intervention.

Ethics and dissemination

The trial has been given favourable opinion by the West Midlands, Edgbaston Research Ethics Service (Ref: 23/WM/0057). Participants will be asked to give full, written consent to take part by trained researchers. Findings will be disseminated via journals, presentations and targeted communications to clinicians, commissioners, service users and patients and the public.

Trial registration number

ISRCTN68786622.

Protocol version

2.0 (16 May 2023).

Inpatient midwifery staffing levels and postpartum readmissions: a retrospective multicentre longitudinal study

Por: Turner · L. Y. · Saville · C. · Ball · J. · Culliford · D. · Dall'Ora · C. · Jones · J. · Kitson-Reynolds · E. · Meredith · P. · Griffiths · P.
Background

Preventing readmission to hospital after giving birth is a key priority, as rates have been rising along with associated costs. There are many contributing factors to readmission, and some are thought to be preventable. Nurse and midwife understaffing has been linked to deficits in care quality. This study explores the relationship between staffing levels and readmission rates in maternity settings.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective longitudinal study using routinely collected individual patient data in three maternity services in England from 2015 to 2020. Data on admissions, discharges and case-mix were extracted from hospital administration systems. Staffing and workload were calculated in Hours Per Patient day per shift in the first two 12-hour shifts of the index (birth) admission. Postpartum readmissions and staffing exposures for all birthing admissions were entered into a hierarchical multivariable logistic regression model to estimate the odds of readmission when staffing was below the mean level for the maternity service.

Results

64 250 maternal admissions resulted in birth and 2903 mothers were readmitted within 30 days of discharge (4.5%). Absolute levels of staffing ranged between 2.3 and 4.1 individuals per midwife in the three services. Below average midwifery staffing was associated with higher rates of postpartum readmissions within 7 days of discharge (adjusted OR (aOR) 1.108, 95% CI 1.003 to 1.223). The effect was smaller and not statistically significant for readmissions within 30 days of discharge (aOR 1.080, 95% CI 0.994 to 1.174). Below average maternity assistant staffing was associated with lower rates of postpartum readmissions (7 days, aOR 0.957, 95% CI 0.867 to 1.057; 30 days aOR 0.965, 95% CI 0.887 to 1.049, both not statistically significant).

Conclusion

We found evidence that lower than expected midwifery staffing levels is associated with more postpartum readmissions. The nature of the relationship requires further investigation including examining potential mediating factors and reasons for readmission in maternity populations.

Protocol for a construct and clinical validation study of MyCog Mobile: a remote smartphone-based cognitive screener for older adults

Por: Young · S. R. · McManus Dworak · E. · Byrne · G. J. · Jones · C. M. · Yoshino Benavente · J. · Yao · L. · Curtis · L. M. · Varela Diaz · M. · Gershon · R. · Wolf · M. · Nowinski · C.
Introduction

Annual cognitive screening in older adults is essential for early detection of cognitive impairment, yet primary care settings face time constraints that present barriers to routine screening. A remote cognitive screener completed on a patient’s personal smartphone before a visit has the potential to save primary care clinics time, encourage broader screening practices and increase early detection of cognitive decline. MyCog Mobile is a promising new remote smartphone-based cognitive screening app for primary care settings. We propose a combined construct and clinical validation study of MyCog Mobile.

Methods and analysis

We will recruit a total sample of 300 adult participants aged 65 years and older. A subsample of 200 healthy adult participants and a subsample of 100 adults with a cognitive impairment diagnosis (ie, dementia, mild cognitive impairment, cognitive deficits or other memory loss) will be recruited from the general population and specialty memory care centres, respectively. To evaluate the construct validity of MyCog Mobile, the healthy control sample will self-administer MyCog Mobile on study-provided smartphones and be administered a battery of gold-standard neuropsychological assessments. We will compare correlations between performance on MyCog Mobile and measures of similar and dissimilar constructs to evaluate convergent and discriminant validity. To assess clinical validity, participants in the clinical sample will self-administer MyCog Mobile on a smartphone and be administered a Mini-Cog screener and these data will be combined with the healthy control sample. We will then apply several supervised model types to determine the best predictors of cognitive impairment within the sample. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, accuracy, sensitivity and specificity will be the primary performance metrics for clinical validity.

Ethics and dissemination

The Institutional Review Board at Northwestern University (STU00214921) approved this study protocol. Results will be published in peer-reviewed journals and summaries provided to the study’s funders.

Estimating the return on investment of the New York Tobacco Control Programme: a synthetic control study

Por: Nonnemaker · J. · Mann · N. · MacMonegle · A. J. · Gaber · J. · Fajobi · O.
Objective

To assess the return on investment (ROI) of the New York Tobacco Control Programme (NY TCP).

Setting

New York and other states of the USA.

Interventions

NY TCP.

Outcomes

Smoking prevalence, smoking-attributable healthcare expenditures (SAEs), smoking-attributable mortality, years of life lost (YLL), the dollar value of YLL and the ROI for healthcare expenditures and mortality.

Design and methods

We used a synthetic control method to estimate the effectiveness of NY TCP funding on smoking prevalence. The synthetic control method created a comparison group that best matched the adult smoking prevalence trend in New York state in the period prior to implementation of the NY TCP and compared smoking prevalence in the state to smoking prevalence in the synthetic control in the period after treatment (2001–2019). The synthetic control group represents what the trend in smoking prevalence in New York would have been had there been no tobacco control expenditures. The ROI was calculated as net savings for each outcome divided by net programme expenditures.

Results

Cumulative savings in SAE in New York from 2001 to 2019 amounted to US$13.2 billion. An estimated 41 771 smoking-attributable deaths (SADs) were averted in New York from 2001 to 2019, and an estimated 672 141 YLL averted as a result of NY TCP funding in the same period. From 2001 to 2019, the ROI for SAE in New York was approximately 14, the economic value ROI of the YLL due to SAD was nearly 145 and the combined ROI was almost 160.

Conclusions

In this study, we found relatively large ROIs for the NY TCP, which suggests that the programme—which lowers SAE and saves lives—is an efficient use of public funds.

Online survey exploring researcher experiences of research funding processes in the UK: the effort and burden of applying for funding and fulfilling reporting requirements

Por: Fackrell · K. · Church · H. · Crane · K. · Recio-Saucedo · A. · Blatch-Jones · A. · Meadmore · K.
Objective

To explore researchers’ experiences of funding processes, the effort and burden involved in applying for funding, obtaining funding and/or fulfilling reporting requirements with a UK health and social care research funder.

Design/Setting

A cross-sectional online survey study with open (free-text) and closed questions (August to November 2021).

Participants

Researchers with experience of applying for/obtaining funding and/or experience of fulfilling reporting requirements for UK health and social care research funded between January 2018 and June 2021.

Results

The survey was completed by 182 researchers, of which 176 had experience with applying for/obtaining funding, and 143 had experience with fulfilling reporting requirements during the timeframe. The majority of the 176 respondents (58%) completed between 7 and 13 key processes in order to submit an application and 69% felt that it was critically important to undertake these key processes. Respondents (n=143) reported submitting an average of 17 reports as part of research monitoring to a range of organisations (eg, funders, Higher Education Institutions). However, only 33% of respondents felt it was critically important to provide the requested reporting information to the different organisations. Thematic analysis of free-text questions on application and reporting identified themes relating to process inefficiencies including streamlining and alignment of systems, lack of understanding of processes including a need for improved communication and feedback from organisations with clear explanations about what information is needed, when and why, the support required by respondents and the time, effort and impact on workload and well-being.

Conclusions

Through this study, we were able to identify funding processes that are considered by some to be effortful, but necessary, as well as those that were perceived as unnecessary, complex and repetitive, and may waste some researchers time and effort and impact on well-being. Possible solutions to increase efficiency and enhance value in these processes were identified.

Work environment and hypertension in industrial settings in Benin in 2019: a cross-sectional study

Por: Adjobimey · M. · Houehanou · C. Y. · Cisse · I. M. · Mikponhoue · R. · Hountohotegbe · E. · Tchibozo · C. · Adjogou · A. · Dossougbete · V. · Gounongbe · F. · Ayelo · P. A. · Hinson · V. · Houinato · D. S.
Objective

To determine the association between occupational factors, particularly psychosocial factors, and hypertension.

Design

Descriptive and analytical cross-sectional study using logistic multivariate regression.

Setting

Fifteen cotton ginning plants in Benin.

Participants

Permanent and occasional workers in the cotton ginning industry.

Data collection

Data on sociodemographic, occupational, behavioural and clinical history characteristics were collected using a number of standardised, interviewer-administered questionnaires. These questionnaires were based on the WHO’s non-communicable disease questionnaire, Karasek questionnaire and Siegrist questionnaire. Weight, height and blood pressure were measured. Any worker with systolic blood pressure ≥140 mm Hg and/or diastolic blood pressure ≥90 mm Hg according to the WHO criteria was considered hypertensive, as was any subject on antihypertensive treatment even if blood pressure was normal.

Results

A total of 1883 workers were included, with a male to female ratio of 9.08. Of these, 510 suffered from hypertension (27.1%, 95% CI 25.1 to 29.2). In the multivariate analysis, the risk factors identified were occupational stress (adjusted OR (aOR)=3.96, 95% CI 1.28 to 12.2), age ≥25 years (aOR=2.77, 95% CI 1.55 to 4.96), body mass index of 25–30 kg/m2 (aOR=1.71, 95% CI 1.32 to 2.2), body mass index >30 kg/m2 (aOR=2.74, 95% CI 1.84 to 4.09), permanent worker status (aOR=1.66, 95% CI 1.44 to 2.41) and seniority in the textile sector >5 years (aOR=2.18, 95% CI 1.7 to 2.8). Recognition at work emerged as an effect-modifying factor subject to stratification.

Conclusions

Occupational factors, particularly job strain and recognition at work, are modifiable factors associated with hypertension in the ginning plants sector and deserve to be corrected through occupational health promotion and prevention.

Predictive machine learning models for ascending aortic dilatation in patients with bicuspid and tricuspid aortic valves undergoing cardiothoracic surgery: a prospective, single-centre and observational study

Por: Gaye · B. · Vignac · M. · Gadin · J. R. · Ladouceur · M. · Caidahl · K. · Olsson · C. · Franco-Cereceda · A. · Eriksson · P. · Björck · H. M.
Objectives

The objective of this study was to develop clinical classifiers aiming to identify prevalent ascending aortic dilatation in patients with bicuspid aortic valve (BAV) and tricuspid aortic valve (TAV).

Design and setting

A prospective, single-centre and observational cohort.

Participants

The study involved 543 BAV and 491 TAV patients with aortic valve disease and/or ascending aortic dilatation, excluding those with coronary artery disease, undergoing cardiothoracic surgery at the Karolinska University Hospital (Sweden).

Main outcome measures

Predictors of high risk of ascending aortic dilatation (defined as ascending aorta with a diameter above 40 mm) were identified through the application of machine learning algorithms and classic logistic regression models.

Exposures

Comprehensive multidimensional data, including valve morphology, clinical information, family history of cardiovascular diseases, prevalent diseases, demographic details, lifestyle factors, and medication.

Results

BAV patients, with an average age of 60.4±12.4 years, showed a higher frequency of aortic dilatation (45.3%) compared with TAV patients, who had an average age of 70.4±9.1 years (28.9% dilatation, p

Conclusion and recommendation

Cardiovascular risk profiles appear to be more predictive of aortopathy in TAV patients than in patients with BAV. This adds evidence to the fact that BAV-associated and TAV-associated aortopathy involves different pathways to aneurysm formation and highlights the need for specific aneurysm preventions in these patients. Further, our results highlight that machine learning approaches do not outperform classical prediction methods in addressing complex interactions and non-linear relations between variables.

REST: a preoperative tailored sleep intervention for patients undergoing total knee replacement - feasibility study for a randomised controlled trial

Por: Bertram · W. · Penfold · C. · Glynn · J. · Johnson · E. · Burston · A. · Rayment · D. · Howells · N. · White · S. · Wylde · V. · Gooberman-Hill · R. · Blom · A. · Whale · K.
Objectives

To test the feasibility of a randomised controlled trial (RCT) of a novel preoperative tailored sleep intervention for patients undergoing total knee replacement.

Design

Feasibility two-arm two-centre RCT using 1:1 randomisation with an embedded qualitative study.

Setting

Two National Health Service (NHS) secondary care hospitals in England and Wales.

Participants

Preoperative adult patients identified from total knee replacement waiting lists with disturbed sleep, defined as a score of 0–28 on the Sleep Condition Indicator questionnaire.

Intervention

The REST intervention is a preoperative tailored sleep assessment and behavioural intervention package delivered by an Extended Scope Practitioner (ESP), with a follow-up phone call 4 weeks postintervention. All participants received usual care as provided by the participating NHS hospitals.

Outcome measures

The primary aim was to assess the feasibility of conducting a full trial. Patient-reported outcomes were assessed at baseline, 1-week presurgery, and 3 months postsurgery. Data collected to determine feasibility included the number of eligible patients, recruitment rates and intervention adherence. Qualitative work explored the acceptability of the study processes and intervention delivery through interviews with ESPs and patients.

Results

Screening packs were posted to 378 patients and 57 patients were randomised. Of those randomised, 20 had surgery within the study timelines. An appointment was attended by 25/28 (89%) of participants randomised to the intervention. Follow-up outcomes measures were completed by 40/57 (70%) of participants presurgery and 15/57 (26%) postsurgery. Where outcome measures were completed, data completion rates were 80% or higher for outcomes at all time points, apart from the painDETECT: 86% complete at baseline, 72% at presurgery and 67% postsurgery. Interviews indicated that most participants found the study processes and intervention acceptable.

Conclusions

This feasibility study has demonstrated that with some amendments to processes and design, an RCT to evaluate the clinical and cost-effectiveness of the REST intervention is feasible.

Trial registration number

ISRCTN14233189.

Inter-reviewer reliability of human literature reviewing and implications for the introduction of machine-assisted systematic reviews: a mixed-methods review

Por: Hanegraaf · P. · Wondimu · A. · Mosselman · J. J. · de Jong · R. · Abogunrin · S. · Queiros · L. · Lane · M. · Postma · M. J. · Boersma · C. · van der Schans · J.
Objectives

Our main objective is to assess the inter-reviewer reliability (IRR) reported in published systematic literature reviews (SLRs). Our secondary objective is to determine the expected IRR by authors of SLRs for both human and machine-assisted reviews.

Methods

We performed a review of SLRs of randomised controlled trials using the PubMed and Embase databases. Data were extracted on IRR by means of Cohen’s kappa score of abstract/title screening, full-text screening and data extraction in combination with review team size, items screened and the quality of the review was assessed with the A MeaSurement Tool to Assess systematic Reviews 2. In addition, we performed a survey of authors of SLRs on their expectations of machine learning automation and human performed IRR in SLRs.

Results

After removal of duplicates, 836 articles were screened for abstract, and 413 were screened full text. In total, 45 eligible articles were included. The average Cohen’s kappa score reported was 0.82 (SD=0.11, n=12) for abstract screening, 0.77 (SD=0.18, n=14) for full-text screening, 0.86 (SD=0.07, n=15) for the whole screening process and 0.88 (SD=0.08, n=16) for data extraction. No association was observed between the IRR reported and review team size, items screened and quality of the SLR. The survey (n=37) showed overlapping expected Cohen’s kappa values ranging between approximately 0.6–0.9 for either human or machine learning-assisted SLRs. No trend was observed between reviewer experience and expected IRR. Authors expect a higher-than-average IRR for machine learning-assisted SLR compared with human based SLR in both screening and data extraction.

Conclusion

Currently, it is not common to report on IRR in the scientific literature for either human and machine learning-assisted SLRs. This mixed-methods review gives first guidance on the human IRR benchmark, which could be used as a minimal threshold for IRR in machine learning-assisted SLRs.

PROSPERO registration number

CRD42023386706.

Impact of chronic oral glucocorticoid treatment on mortality in patients with COVID-19: analysis of a population-based cohort

Por: Einarsdottir · M. J. · Kibiwott Kirui · B. · Li · H. · Olsson · D. · Johannsson · G. · Nyberg · F. · Ragnarsson · O.
Objectives

While glucocorticoid (GC) treatment initiated for COVID-19 reduces mortality, it is unclear whether GC treatment prior to COVID-19 affects mortality. Long-term GC use raises infection and thromboembolic risks. We investigated if patients with oral GC use prior to COVID-19 had increased mortality overall and by selected causes.

Design

Population-based observational cohort study.

Settings

Population-based register data in Sweden.

Participants

All patients infected with COVID-19 in Sweden from January 2020 to November 2021 (n=1 200 153).

Outcome measures

Any prior oral GC use was defined as ≥1 GC prescription during 12 months before index. High exposure was defined as ≥2 GC prescriptions with a cumulative prednisolone dose ≥750 mg or equivalent during 6 months before index. GC users were compared with COVID-19 patients who had not received GCs within 12 months before index. We used Cox proportional hazard models and 1:2 propensity score matching to estimate HRs and 95% CIs, controlling for the same confounders in all analyses.

Results

3378 deaths occurred in subjects with any prior GC exposure (n=48 806; 6.9%) and 14 850 among non-exposed (n=1 151 347; 1.3%). Both high (HR 1.98, 95% CI 1.87 to 2.09) and any exposure (1.58, 1.52 to 1.65) to GCs were associated with overall death. Deaths from pulmonary embolism, sepsis and COVID-19 were associated with high GC exposure and, similarly but weaker, with any exposure. High exposure to GCs was associated with increased deaths caused by stroke and myocardial infarction.

Conclusion

Patients on oral GC treatment prior to COVID-19 have increased mortality, particularly from pulmonary embolism, sepsis and COVID-19.

Defining acceptable data collection and reuse standards for queer artificial intelligence research in mental health: protocol for the online PARQAIR-MH Delphi study

Por: Joyce · D. W. · Kormilitzin · A. · Hamer-Hunt · J. · McKee · K. R. · Tomasev · N.
Introduction

For artificial intelligence (AI) to help improve mental healthcare, the design of data-driven technologies needs to be fair, safe, and inclusive. Participatory design can play a critical role in empowering marginalised communities to take an active role in constructing research agendas and outputs. Given the unmet needs of the LGBTQI+ (Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, Transgender, Queer and Intersex) community in mental healthcare, there is a pressing need for participatory research to include a range of diverse queer perspectives on issues of data collection and use (in routine clinical care as well as for research) as well as AI design. Here we propose a protocol for a Delphi consensus process for the development of PARticipatory Queer AI Research for Mental Health (PARQAIR-MH) practices, aimed at informing digital health practices and policy.

Methods and analysis

The development of PARQAIR-MH is comprised of four stages. In stage 1, a review of recent literature and fact-finding consultation with stakeholder organisations will be conducted to define a terms-of-reference for stage 2, the Delphi process. Our Delphi process consists of three rounds, where the first two rounds will iterate and identify items to be included in the final Delphi survey for consensus ratings. Stage 3 consists of consensus meetings to review and aggregate the Delphi survey responses, leading to stage 4 where we will produce a reusable toolkit to facilitate participatory development of future bespoke LGBTQI+–adapted data collection, harmonisation, and use for data-driven AI applications specifically in mental healthcare settings.

Ethics and dissemination

PARQAIR-MH aims to deliver a toolkit that will help to ensure that the specific needs of LGBTQI+ communities are accounted for in mental health applications of data-driven technologies. The study is expected to run from June 2024 through January 2025, with the final outputs delivered in mid-2025. Participants in the Delphi process will be recruited by snowball and opportunistic sampling via professional networks and social media (but not by direct approach to healthcare service users, patients, specific clinical services, or via clinicians’ caseloads). Participants will not be required to share personal narratives and experiences of healthcare or treatment for any condition. Before agreeing to participate, people will be given information about the issues considered to be in-scope for the Delphi (eg, developing best practices and methods for collecting and harmonising sensitive characteristics data; developing guidelines for data use/reuse) alongside specific risks of unintended harm from participating that can be reasonably anticipated. Outputs will be made available in open-access peer-reviewed publications, blogs, social media, and on a dedicated project website for future reuse.

Application of generative language models to orthopaedic practice

Por: Caterson · J. · Ambler · O. · Cereceda-Monteoliva · N. · Horner · M. · Jones · A. · Poacher · A. T.
Objective

To explore whether large language models (LLMs) Generated Pre-trained Transformer (GPT)-3 and ChatGPT can write clinical letters and predict management plans for common orthopaedic scenarios.

Design

Fifteen scenarios were generated and ChatGPT and GPT-3 prompted to write clinical letters and separately generate management plans for identical scenarios with plans removed.

Main outcome measures

Letters were assessed for readability using the Readable Tool. Accuracy of letters and management plans were assessed by three independent orthopaedic surgery clinicians.

Results

Both models generated complete letters for all scenarios after single prompting. Readability was compared using Flesch-Kincade Grade Level (ChatGPT: 8.77 (SD 0.918); GPT-3: 8.47 (SD 0.982)), Flesch Readability Ease (ChatGPT: 58.2 (SD 4.00); GPT-3: 59.3 (SD 6.98)), Simple Measure of Gobbledygook (SMOG) Index (ChatGPT: 11.6 (SD 0.755); GPT-3: 11.4 (SD 1.01)), and reach (ChatGPT: 81.2%; GPT-3: 80.3%). ChatGPT produced more accurate letters (8.7/10 (SD 0.60) vs 7.3/10 (SD 1.41), p=0.024) and management plans (7.9/10 (SD 0.63) vs 6.8/10 (SD 1.06), p

Conclusions

This study shows that LLMs are effective for generation of clinical letters. With little prompting, they are readable and mostly accurate. However, they are not consistent, and include inappropriate omissions or insertions. Furthermore, management plans produced by LLMs are generic but often accurate. In the future, a healthcare specific language model trained on accurate and secure data could provide an excellent tool for increasing the efficiency of clinicians through summarisation of large volumes of data into a single clinical letter.

Country uptake of WHO recommendations on differentiated HIV testing services approaches: a global policy review

Por: Kadye · T. · Jamil · M. S. · Johnson · C. · Baggaley · R. · Barr-DiChiara · M. · Cambiano · V.
Objectives

In 2015 and 2016, WHO issued guidelines on HIV testing services (HTS) highlighting recommendations for a strategic mix of differentiated HTS approaches. The policy review examines the uptake of differentiated HTS approaches recommendations in national policies.

Methods

Data were extracted from national policies published between January 2015 and June 2019. The WHO-recommended HTS approaches included facility-based testing, community-based testing, HIV self-testing and provider-assisted referral (or assisted partner notification). Other supportive recommendations include pre-test information, post-test counselling, lay provider testing and rapid testing. Descriptive analyses were conducted to examine inclusion of recommendations in national policies.

Results

Of 194 countries worldwide, 65 published policies were identified; 24 WHO Africa region (AFR) countries (51%, 24/47), 21 WHO European region (EUR) (40%, 21/53), 6 WHO Eastern Mediterranean region (EMR) (29%, 6/21), 5 Pan-American region (AMR) (14%, 5/35), 5 Western Pacific Region (WPR) (19%, 5/27) and 4 WHO South East Asia Region (SEAR) (36%, 4/11). Only five countries included all recommendations. 63 included a minimum of one. 85% (n=55) included facility-based testing for pregnant women, 75% (n=49) facility-based testing for key populations, 74% (n=48) community-based testing for key populations, 69% (n=45) rapid testing, 57% (n=37) post-test counselling, 45% (n=29) lay provider testing, 38% (n=25) HIV self-testing, 29% (n=19) pre-test information and 25% (n=16) provider-assisted referral. The proportion in each region that included at least one recommendation were: 100% AFR (24/47), 100% EMR (6/6), 100% AMR (5/5), 100% WPR (5/5), 100% SEAR (4/4) and 95% EUR (20/21). AFR followed by EMR included the highest number of reccomendations.

Conclusion

There was substantial variability in the uptake of the WHO-differentiated HTS recommendations. Those in EMR included the most WHO-differentiated HTS recommendation followed by AFR. Countries within AMR included the least number of recommendations. Ongoing advocacy and efforts are needed to support the uptake of the WHO-differentiated HTS recommendations in country policies as well as their implementation.

Co-design and evaluation of a youth-informed organisational tool to enhance trauma-informed practices in the UK public sector: a study protocol

Por: Hugh-Jones · S. · Butcher · I. · Bhui · K.
Introduction

A trauma-informed approach (TIA) means working with awareness that people’s histories of trauma may shape the way they engage with services, organisations or institutions. Young people with adverse childhood experiences may be at risk of retraumatisation by organisational practices in schools and universities and by employers and health agencies when they seek support. There are limited evidence-based resources to help people working in the public sector to work with adolescents in trauma-informed ways and the needs of adolescents have not been central in resource development. This study contributes to public sector capacity to work in trauma-informed ways with adolescents by codesigning and evaluating the implementation of a youth-informed organisational resource.

Methods and analysis

This is an Accelerated Experience-based Co-design (AEBCD) Study followed by pre–post evaluation. Public sector organisations or services, and adolescents connected with them, will collaboratively reflect on lived experience data assembled through creative arts practice, alongside data from epidemiological national data sets. These will present knowledge about the impact of adverse childhood experiences on adolescents’ mental health (stage 1). Collaboratively, priorities (touch points) for organisational responses will be identified (stage 2), and a low-burden resource will be codesigned (stage 3) and offered for implementation (stage 4) and evaluation (stage 5) in diverse settings. The study will provide insights into what adolescents and public sector organisations in the UK want from a TIA resource, the experience of services/organisations in implementing this and recommendations for resource development and implementation.

Ethics and dissemination

The UK National Health Service Health Research Authority approved this study (23/WM/0105). Learning will be shared across study participants in a workshop at the end of the study. Knowledge products will include a website detailing the created resource and a youth-created film documenting the study process, the elements of the codesigned resource and experiences of implementation. Dissemination will target academic, healthcare, education, social care, third sector and local government settings via knowledge exchange events, social media, accessible briefings, conference presentations and publications.

Nephrologists perspectives on communication and decision-making regarding technique survival in peritoneal dialysis: an international qualitative interview study

Por: Yudianto · B. · Jaure · A. · Shen · J. · Cho · Y. · Brown · E. · Dong · J. · Dunning · T. · Mehrotra · R. · Naicker · S. · Pecoits-Filho · R. · Perl · J. · Wang · A. Y.-M. · Wilkie · M. · Guha · C. · Scholes-Robertson · N. · Craig · J. · Johnson · D. · Manera · K.
Objectives

Peritoneal dialysis (PD) allows patients increased autonomy and flexibility; however, both infectious and non-infectious complications may lead to technique failure, which shortens treatment longevity. Maintaining patients on PD remains a major challenge for nephrologists. This study aims to describe nephrologists’ perspectives on technique survival in PD.

Design

Qualitative semistructured interview study. Transcripts were thematically analysed.

Setting and participants

30 nephrologists across 11 countries including Australia, the USA, the UK, Hong Kong, Canada, Singapore, Japan, New Zealand, Thailand, Colombia and Uruguay were interviewed from April 2017 to November 2019.

Results

We identified four themes: defining patient suitability (confidence in capacity for self-management, ensuring clinical stability and expected resilience), building endurance (facilitating access to practical support, improving mental well-being, optimising quality of care and training to reduce risk of complications), establishing rapport through effective communications (managing expectations to enhance trust, individualising care and harnessing a multidisciplinary approach) and confronting fear and acknowledging barriers to haemodialysis (preventing crash landing to haemodialysis, facing concerns of losing independence and positive framing of haemodialysis).

Conclusion

Nephrologists reported that technique survival in PD is influenced by patients’ medical circumstances, psychological motivation and positively influenced by the education and support provided by treating clinicians and families. Strategies to enhance patients’ knowledge on PD and communication with patients about technique survival in PD are needed to build trust, set patient expectations of treatment and improve the process of transition off PD.

Good while it lasted? Estimating the long-term and withdrawal effects of results-based financing in Malawi on maternal care utilisation using routine data

Por: Dasgupta · T. · De Allegri · M. · Brenner · S. · Kaminjolo-Kambala · C. · Lohmann · J.
Objectives

This study aimed to evaluate the effect of introduction and subsequent withdrawal of the Results-based Financing for Maternal and Newborn Health Initiative (RBF4MNH) in Malawi on utilisation of facility-based childbirths, antenatal care (ANC) and postnatal care (PNC).

Design

A controlled interrupted time series design was used with secondary data from the Malawian Health Management Information System.

Setting

Healthcare facilities at all levels identified as providing maternity services in four intervention districts and 20 non-intervention districts in Malawi.

Participants

Routinely collected, secondary data of total monthly service utilisation of facility-based childbirths, ANC and PNC services.

Interventions

The intervention is the RBF4MNH initiative, introduced by the Malawian government in 2013 to improve maternal and infant health outcomes and withdrawn in 2018 after ceasing of donor funding.

Outcome measures

Differences in total volume and trends of utilisation of facility-based childbirths, ANC and PNC services, compared between intervention versus non-intervention districts, for the study period of 90 consecutive months.

Results

No significant effect was observed, on utilisation trends for any of the three services during the first 2.5 years of intervention. In the following 2.5 years after full implementation, we observed a small positive increase for facility-based childbirths (+0.62 childbirths/month/facility) and decrease for PNC (–0.55 consultations/month/facility) trends of utilisation respectively. After withdrawal, facility-based childbirths and ANC consultations dropped both in immediate volume after removal (–10.84 childbirths/facility and –20.66 consultations/facility, respectively), and in trends of utilisation over time (–0.27 childbirths/month/facility and -1.38 consultations/month/facility, respectively). PNC utilisation levels seemed unaffected in intervention districts against a decline in the rest of the country.

Conclusions

Concurrent with wider literature, our results suggest that effects of complex health financing interventions, such as RBF4MNH, can take a long time to be seen. They might not be sustained beyond the implementation period if measures are not adopted to reform existing health financing structures.

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