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Impact assessment of neonatal care interventions on regional neonatal care capacity: a simulation study based on clinical data in the Netherlands

Por: Wagenaar · J. H. L. · Dietz · A. · Huang · Y. · Reiss · I. K. M. · Been · J. V. · Spaan · J. · Kornelisse · R. F. · Taal · H. R. · Hinrichs-Krapels · S.
Objective

To analyse the impact of selected neonatal care interventions on regional care capacity.

Design

Discrete event simulation modelling based on clinical data.

Setting

Neonatal care in the southwest of the Netherlands, consisting of one tertiary-level neonatal intensive care unit (NICU), four hospitals with high-care neonatal (HCN) wards and six with medium-care neonatal (MCN) wards.

Participants

44 461 neonates admitted to at least one hospital within the specified region or admitted outside of the region but with a residential address inside the region between 2016 and 2021.

Interventions

The impact of three interventions was simulated: (1) home-based phototherapy for hyperbilirubinaemia, (2) oral antibiotic switch for culture-negative early onset infection and (3) changing tertiary-level NICU admission guidelines.

Main outcome measure

Regional neonatal capacity defined as: (1) occupancy per ward level, (2) required operational beds per ward level to provide care to all inside region patients at maximum 85% occupancy, (3) proportion rejected, defined as outside region transfers due to no capacity to provide local care and (4) the weekly rejections in relation to occupancy to provide a combined analysis.

Results

In the current situation, with many operational beds closed due to nurse shortages, occupancy was extremely high at the NICU and HCNs (respectively 91.7% (95% CI 91.4 to 92.0) and 98.1% (95% CI 98.0 to 98.2)). The number of required beds exceeded available beds, resulting in >20% rejections for both NICU and HCN patients. Although the three interventions individually demonstrated effect on capacity, clinical impact was marginal. In combination, NICU occupancy was reduced below the 85% government recommendation at the cost of an increased burden for HCNs, highlighting the need for redistribution to MCNs.

Conclusion

Our model confirmed the severity of current neonatal capacity strain and demonstrated the potential impact of three interventions on regional capacity. The model showed to be a low-cost and easy-to-use method for regional capacity impact assessment and could provide the basis for making informed decisions for other interventions and future scenarios, supporting data-driven neonatal capacity planning and policy development.

Identification of novel molecular drivers, prognostic and diagnostic biomarkers for Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD): protocol for the Nottingham/AstraZeneca prospective IBD observational cohort study

Por: Serna-Valverde · A. L. · Rodriguez-Suarez · E. · Marks · D. J. B. · Gehrmann · U. · Neisen · J. · Clarke · S. · Chew · T. S. · Cummings · F. · De Silva · S. · Gordon · J. N. · Knight · P. · Limdi · J. · Patel · K. · Crooks · B. · Sebastian · S. · Polytarchou · C. · Hannan · N. R. F. · Mo
Introduction

Crohn’s disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) are chronic, inflammatory bowel diseases (IBDs) of unknown origin, affecting the gastrointestinal tract and often causing extraintestinal symptoms. Conventional treatments (eg, glucocorticosteroids, immunomodulators) and targeted advanced treatments, including anti-TNFα, antibodies to p40 subunit of IL-12/23, antibodies to p19 subunit of IL-23, anti-α4β7 integrin, Janus kinase inhibitors (JAKis) and sphingosine-1-phosphate receptor (S1PR) modulators, do not achieve sustained responses for all patients, leaving significant unmet therapeutic needs.

Methods and analysis

This prospective, multi-centre observational study will follow a cohort of 240 patients across multiple study centres within NHS trusts in the UK who are initiating or switching biologics, specifically anti-TNFα and anti-α4β7 integrin for UC, and anti-TNFα, antibodies to p40 subunit of IL-12/2 and JAKi for CD. Through comprehensive profiling of immunological, transcriptional, microbiome, genetic and proteomic markers at baseline, week 12, and week 52, this study aims to uncover non-invasive biomarkers that predict response to these drug classes, ultimately advancing personalised medicine in IBD.

Ethics and dissemination

Ethical approval for the Nottingham/AstraZeneca study was granted by the West of Scotland Research Ethics Committee. Recruitment began in December 2022 and is currently ongoing at 10 NHS Trust sites across the UK. Study findings will be disseminated by publication in peer-reviewed journals and presentations at relevant national and international conferences.

Public health assistance for people with haemophilia in Brazil (PATCH study): a cross-sectional study protocol

Por: Roberti · M. d. R. F. · Gea · Y. R. e. A. · Marinho · I. A. · Inacio · P. P. · Camelo · R. M. · de Castro · T. F. · Batista · S. R. R.
Introduction

Haemophilia is a rare inherited bleeding disorder with complex support and costly treatment. Comprehensive care for people with haemophilia (PwH) must take place in structured and continuously evaluated treatment centres. The aim of the Public Assistance for People with Haemophilia in Brazil Project (PATCH Project) is to assess the infrastructure, human resources and healthcare delivery processes of Brazilian Blood Centres (BC) involved in the provision of haemophilia care.

Methods and analysis

This is a nationwide cross-sectional study involving 98 BC across Brazil’s 26 states and the Federal District, focusing on the care provided to PwH. A self-administered structured questionnaire was prepared, based on national and international recommendations for management, treatment and outcomes assessment in PwH. The criteria of the World Federation of Haemophilia and the European Association for Haemophilia and Allied Disorders will be used to define standards of quality.

Ethics and dissemination

Ethical approval for this study was granted by the Human Research Ethics Committee of the Federal University of Goiás, the coordinating centre (protocol CAAE 53863221.8.0000.5078), and subsequently by all participating institutions. Written informed consent is obtained from all participants prior to enrolment. Study findings will be disseminated through publication in peer-reviewed journals and presentation at international scientific conferences. Research data will be managed in accordance with ethical and legal standards and will be made available on reasonable request to support future investigations.

Protocol registration

Not applicable

Use of the National Health Insurance among beneficiaries in Maluku province, Indonesia: a cross-sectional analysis of the 2021 social health insurance sample data

Por: Titaley · C. R. · Ariawan · I. · Wahyuningsih · W. · Iwan · R. F. · Malakauseya · M. L. V. · Kimberly · V. D. · Tando · Y.
Objectives

This study examined factors associated with the use of Indonesia’s National Health Insurance (NHI) among its beneficiaries in Maluku province.

Design

Cross-sectional study.

Setting

The individual-level data were derived from the 2021 Social Health Insurance Sample Data. National health reports of Indonesia were used to provide the district-level variables. We performed multivariable logistic regression analyses to identify factors associated with NHI use among its beneficiaries in Maluku province.

Participant

Data were collected from 31 517 NHI beneficiaries registered in Maluku.

Primary outcome

The primary outcome was the use of NHI insurance when accessing healthcare services (yes/no).

Results

Only 14.79% of NHI beneficiaries in Maluku had ever used their insurance for healthcare services. Individual factors associated with higher NHI use included being under 60 years, females (adjusted OR (aOR)=1.29, p

Conclusion

Strengthening primary healthcare accessibility, improving the distribution of healthcare workers and addressing socioeconomic and geographical disparities are essential to ensure that the NHI scheme achieves equitable use across all regions in Maluku and other areas with similar settings.

How clinical structures shape diagnostic practices in Swedish hard-to-heal ulcer care: a grounded theory study

Por: Roxenius · J. · Wickstrom · H. L. · Skär · L. · Oien · R. F.
Objective

The aim of this study was to explore why patients with hard-to-heal ulcers are treated without an aetiological diagnosis, using a grounded theory approach.

Design

The study employed a qualitative semistructured interview design to gain in-depth insights. Data were collected in 2024, and an explanatory model was formed in accordance with grounded theory analysis.

Setting

Interviews were conducted with healthcare staff across primary, community and specialist care units in Sweden, encompassing both public and private sectors and representing a wide geographical spread.

Participants

The study involved 23 healthcare professionals, including nurses (n=18), assistant nurses (n=2) and physicians (n=3), from 22 healthcare units that participated in a preceding national mapping study. Participants were selected purposively to represent various professional roles and healthcare levels.

Results

The analysis resulted in a theoretical model based on two categories: Healthcare traditions and clinical practices and Clinical governance. The lack of an aetiological diagnosis can be attributed to a traditional division of tasks, where ulcer care falls within the nurses’ domain. As a result, patients often receive treatment without a physician’s involvement, especially in home healthcare. Barriers and enablers for a diagnosis are present on different levels; issues close to the patient as well as structural matters. The results illustrate how healthcare units can be positioned along a scale, from traditional work distribution to evidence-based guidelines.

Conclusions

This study can be used to get a deeper understanding of the challenges of current wound management, where clinical governance can support or undermine the movement from a traditional work distribution towards an evidence-based clinical practice. Furthermore, this study can provide a basis for discussing quality improvement, to obtain good and equal care for patients with hard-to-heal ulcers.

Investigating the long-term public health and co-benefit impacts of an urban greenway intervention in the UK: a natural experiment evaluation - study protocol

Por: Hunter · R. F. · Cleland · C. · Wang · R. · ONeill · C. · Mullineaux · S. · Tate · C. · Kücükali · H. · Akaraci · S. · OKane · N. · Garcia · L. · Clarke · M. · Cardwell · C. R. · Jones · S. · Maguire · A. · Ellis · G. · Murtagh · B. · Jurek-Loughrey · A. · Bryan · D. · Barry · J. · Hilto
Introduction

Urban green and blue space (UGBS) interventions, such as the development of an urban greenway, have the potential to provide public health benefits and multiple co-benefits in the realms of the environment, economy and society. This paper presents the protocol for a 5-year follow-up evaluation of the public health benefits and co-benefits of an urban greenway in Belfast, UK.

Methods and analysis

The natural experiment evaluation uses a range of systems-oriented and mixed-method approaches. First, using group model building methods, we codeveloped a causal loop diagram with stakeholders to inform the evaluation framework. We will use other systems methods including viable systems modelling and soft systems methodology to understand the context of the system (ie, the intervention) and the stakeholders involved in the development, implementation and maintenance phases. The effectiveness evaluation includes a repeat cross-sectional household survey with a random sample of 1200 local residents (adults aged ≥16 years old) who live within 1 mile of the greenway. The survey is complemented with administrative data from the National Health Service. For the household survey, outcomes include physical activity, mental well-being, quality of life, social capital, perceptions of environment and biodiversity. From the administrative data, outcomes include prescription medications for a range of non-communicable diseases such as cardiovascular disease, type II diabetes mellitus, chronic respiratory and mental health conditions. We also investigate changes in infectious disease rates, including COVID-19, and maternal and child health outcomes such as birth weight and gestational diabetes. A range of economic evaluation methods, including a cost-effectiveness analysis and social return on investment (SROI), will be employed. Findings from the household survey and administrative data analysis will be further explored in focus groups with a subsample of those who complete the household survey and the local community to explore possible mechanistic pathways and other impacts beyond those measured. Process evaluation methods include intercept surveys and direct observation of the number and type of greenway visitors using the Systems for Observing Play and Recreation in Communities tool. Finally, we will use methods such as weight of evidence, simulation and group model building, each embedding participatory engagement with stakeholders to help us interpret, triangulate and synthesise the findings.

Ethics and dissemination

To our knowledge, this is one of the first natural experiments with a 5-year follow-up evaluation of an UGBS intervention. The findings will help inform future policy and practice on UGBS interventions intended to bring a range of public health benefits and co-benefits. Ethics approval was obtained from the Medicine, Health and Life Sciences Research Ethics Committee prior to the commencement of the study. All participants in the household survey and focus group workshops will provide written informed consent before taking part in the study. Findings will be reported to (1) participants and stakeholders; (2) funding bodies supporting the research; (3) local, regional and national governments to inform policy; (4) presented at local, national and international conferences and (5) disseminated by peer-review publications.

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