A clinical prediction model (IMPROVE) for ipsilateral ischaemic stroke risk in symptomatic patients with carotid disease was recently developed with good performance. We aim to evaluate the model-based cost-effectiveness of IMPROVE-based triage versus triage in care-as-usual (CAU) for optimal medical treatment (OMT) alone or carotid endarterectomy plus OMT.

A dataset of 678 patients with carotid disease and a recent ipsilateral ischaemic stroke, transient ischaemic attack or amaurosis fugax from four cohort studies informed a decision-analytic model. Stratification of patients for carotid endarterectomy was based on ≥50% carotid stenosis (CAU arm) or a range of 3-year ipsilateral ischaemic stroke risk thresholds (IMPROVE arm). The threshold resulting in the lowest number of ipsilateral strokes and perioperative strokes and deaths was selected as the optimal threshold. Patients with

IMPROVE-based triage reduced ipsilateral ischaemic strokes and perioperative strokes and deaths by 34.5% (CAU: 4.3%, IMPROVE: 2.8%) over 3 years. Revascularisations decreased by 20% with IMPROVE, while Quality-Adjusted Life Years slightly increased. Procedural stroke occurred in 1.8% of patients in CAU versus 1.4% of patients for IMPROVE. Societal costs decreased on average by 1441/patient for IMPROVE versus CAU for a 3-year time horizon (lifetime cost reduction: 6101/patient). Subgroup analyses identified IMPROVE as the superior strategy for 50–69% and 70–99% stenosis (3-year and lifetime horizon) and

In this modelling analysis, triage of symptomatic patients with carotid disease with the IMPROVE model can lead to the prevention of one-third of ipsilateral ischaemic strokes and perioperative strokes and deaths, while also reducing societal costs. These findings should be validated in a clinical trial.

The Infant Gut Bacterial Study in Nigeria (INBUGS-NG) investigates how delivery mode, antibiotic exposure, feeding practices and environmental factors shape gut microbiome development and acquisition of antibiotic resistance genes (ARGs) during the first year of life in northern Nigeria.

Between February and July 2024, 90 mother–infant dyads were enrolled at a tertiary hospital in Kano city, Nigeria. This was a prospective longitudinal cohort with follow-ups at 10 scheduled time points: days 0, 1, 3, 5, 7, 14, 28, 90, 180 and 365. We also intensified stool sampling after infant antibiotic administration, enabling dense early-life sampling. To date, the cohort has contributed 480 infant stool samples, 232 maternal rectal swabs, 254 breast milk samples and 806 environmental samples (total 1772). In parallel, socio-demographic, clinical and cultural data were collected using Research Electronic Data Capture (REDCap) and household visit diaries.

Baseline data show that 84/90 mothers (93.3%) received postpartum antibiotics, and 26/90 infants (28.9%) received antibiotics within the first 3 months of life. Only 8% of infants were exclusively breastfed, with early water supplementation common. Caesarean deliveries accounted for 25% of births, and the mean gestational age was 38.5 weeks. Across the cohort, high retention was achieved, and the study has generated a unique long-read metagenomic resource from an African infant population, with analyses ongoing.

Shotgun long-read metagenomic sequencing (Oxford Nanopore) will enable strain-level and plasmid-level profiling of microbial communities and ARGs. Planned analyses include associations between early-life exposures and resistome dynamics, as well as cross-cohort comparisons with a parallel study in Pakistan. Follow-up will continue through 12 months.

In the Netherlands, approximately 2200 major amputations of the lower extremities are performed each year, the majority in vascular patients. Around 61% of these patients will develop postamputation pain (PAP). PAP is a severe, lifelong, disabling condition profoundly affecting quality of life. During amputations, the common practice is to cut the nerves without employing nerve-surgical techniques to prevent chronic pain due to neuroma formation. In recent years, targeted muscle reinnervation (TMR) has been the most frequently studied technique for treating PAP, inhibiting neuroma formation by rerouting the cut mixed nerve to a functional motor nerve. We hypothesise that a primary TMR procedure during major lower limb amputations will result in a lower prevalence of PAP.

We propose a national, multicentre, randomised, sham-controlled trial comparing TMR with traction neurectomy in major amputations of the lower extremities in patients with vascular disease. 203 patients will be recruited with an indication for a transfemoral to transtibial amputation as a primary or secondary sequela of vascular disease. The subjects are randomly assigned to the TMR group or the traction neurectomy group. PAP will be evaluated 1 year postoperatively as the primary endpoint. Secondary outcomes include quality of life, mobility, neuropathic pain, hospital anxiety and depression, cost-effectiveness and complications.

This study has been reviewed and approved by the local ethical review body, ‘The Medical Ethics Committee Leiden The Hague Delft’, under the reference: P24.073 on 28 November 2024. Results will be published in peer-reviewed journals.

NCT06719245. Dutch trial registry: NL87196.058.24

To estimate type 2 diabetes incidence trends by sex and socioeconomic position (SEP) and evaluate trends in SEP-related inequalities in incidence.

Ecological study using ambulatory claims data and regression-based modelling.

All 401 counties in Germany, covering the entire country.

All individuals with statutory health insurance (~85% of the population). Incident cases of type 2 diabetes were identified annually from 2014 to 2019 using the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 10th revision codes.

Incident type 2 diabetes at the county level, adjusted for age and modelled using a mixed negative binomial regression. SEP was measured using the German Index of Socioeconomic Deprivation, and a random intercept accounted for county-level heterogeneity.

The incidence of type 2 diabetes decreased between 2014 and 2017 and plateaued thereafter. Trends were similar between sexes and deprivation levels. The greatest difference was observed between high and low deprivation, with an incidence rate ratio of 1.20 (95% CI: 1.14 to 1.27) among men and 1.21 (95% CI: 1.14 to 1.27) among women in 2014.

There was a positive trend in the decline in age-adjusted type 2 diabetes incidence between 2014 and 2019. However, social inequality persisted with deprived groups at higher risk of type 2 diabetes. The level of inequality was comparable between men and women. Continued monitoring is essential to assess whether these short-term trends persist over time.