Anxiety disorders, obsessive–compulsive disorder (OCD) and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) are common in children and adolescents and can lead to significant impairment. Cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT) with exposure is the first-line treatment, yet approximately half of treated youth do not achieve full remission. Dysfunctional cognitions—negative automatic thoughts, maladaptive beliefs and distorted interpretations—are considered key targets of CBT, but evidence in youth is mixed and underpowered. This study will examine whether change in dysfunctional cognitions mediates treatment outcome in anxiety, OCD and PTSD symptoms and whether this association varies across individual characteristics.
An individual participant data meta-analysis (IPDMA) of randomised controlled trials of CBT for youth aged 5–18 years with anxiety disorders, OCD or PTSD will be conducted. The search strategy includes the databases APA PsycINFO, MEDLINE and Web of Science Core Collection from inception to 8 September 2025. It is supplemented by screening reference lists, trial registries, grey literature and outreach to relevant research groups. Eligible trials must include at least one validated measure of dysfunctional cognitions administered at minimum pre- and post-treatment, and clinical outcomes assessed at post-treatment and follow-up. The two primary outcomes are (1) child-reported symptom severity and (2) clinician-rated clinical severity. Data will be harmonised for dysfunctional cognition scores, moderators (age, gender, socioeconomic status, comorbidity), and primary outcomes. One-stage Bayesian mixed-effects models will examine whether changes in dysfunctional cognitions predict improvements in primary outcomes and whether these effects are moderated by individual characteristics. Missing data will be addressed using multiple imputation within the Bayesian framework, and study-level heterogeneity will be modelled using random intercepts and slopes.
All datasets will be de-identified and managed under General Data Protection Regulation standards. Each included trial will have ethical approval permitting data sharing and reuse, and the secondary analysis of the shared datasets has been approved by the University of Amsterdam. Findings will be disseminated via a peer-reviewed publication, scientific conferences and open sharing of analysis scripts and harmonisation procedures.
CRD420251139130.
To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of implementing a penicillin allergy assessment pathway (PAAP) versus usual care within the NHS.
A decision tree analysis over a 5-year time-period, informed by a randomised controlled trial (RCT) of PAAP and systematic review. Value of information analysis was also conducted to estimate the value of conducting a new trial.
Model inputs were informed by the ALABAMA RCT participants included in the primary analysis, 811 adults with penicillin allergy labels and recent antibiotic prescriptions, and data from published literature.
Participants in the ALABAMA trial included in the primary analysis: PAAP (n=401) and usual care (n=410).
Costs are presented in GBP (£) at 2022–2023 prices, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, incremental net monetary benefit (INMB), the probability of cost-effectiveness at the £20,000 and £30,000 per QALY threshold, and the cost effectiveness of a new follow-on trial.
PAAP had incremental costs of £–83 (probability of cost saving 47.5%) and incremental QALYs of 0.036 (probability of positive benefits 47.5%). The INMBs (probability of cost-effectiveness) were £806 (48%) and £1167 (48%) under the decision thresholds of £20,000 and £30,000 per QALY, respectively. PAAP was more cost-effective among females, people aged >65 years, and more frequent antibiotic users. A new follow-on trial involving 1267 participants was estimated to cost £2.4 million and, by reducing uncertainty in the evidence, would avoid £19.6 million in costs of incorrect management decisions for eligible patients over the next 10 years.
The PAAP was considered cost-effective, but significant uncertainty remained. Future trials with adequate power and longer follow-up are needed to determine the most cost-effective models for penicillin allergy testing.
Haemophilia is a rare inherited bleeding disorder with complex support and costly treatment. Comprehensive care for people with haemophilia (PwH) must take place in structured and continuously evaluated treatment centres. The aim of the Public Assistance for People with Haemophilia in Brazil Project (PATCH Project) is to assess the infrastructure, human resources and healthcare delivery processes of Brazilian Blood Centres (BC) involved in the provision of haemophilia care.
This is a nationwide cross-sectional study involving 98 BC across Brazil’s 26 states and the Federal District, focusing on the care provided to PwH. A self-administered structured questionnaire was prepared, based on national and international recommendations for management, treatment and outcomes assessment in PwH. The criteria of the World Federation of Haemophilia and the European Association for Haemophilia and Allied Disorders will be used to define standards of quality.
Ethical approval for this study was granted by the Human Research Ethics Committee of the Federal University of Goiás, the coordinating centre (protocol CAAE 53863221.8.0000.5078), and subsequently by all participating institutions. Written informed consent is obtained from all participants prior to enrolment. Study findings will be disseminated through publication in peer-reviewed journals and presentation at international scientific conferences. Research data will be managed in accordance with ethical and legal standards and will be made available on reasonable request to support future investigations.
Not applicable
Our objective was to examine the barriers and facilitators encountered by primary and secondary healthcare professionals when collaborating at the care continuum between primary and secondary care. We aimed to identify specific challenges, observed benefits and proposed changes. By analysing these experiences and identifying opportunities for redesign, we aimed to define specific domains that could improve collaboration, thereby supporting sustainable access to and quality of care in the face of rising demand and constrained resources.
A qualitative exploratory study using semi-structured interview data guided by two domains of the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR), including Inner Setting—Tension for Change and Individual Characteristics, as well as selected implementation outcomes defined by Proctor et al, all viewed through a service (re)design lens.
Consultation and communication between primary and secondary healthcare professionals in a Dutch urbanised area.
37 users of collaboration services (eg, telephone, correspondence) were interviewed between August 2021 and October 2022, including 14 general practitioners (GPs) (10 females, 4 males) and 23 specialists (10 females, 13 males).
Four key domains with subthemes, subdivided per operation and CFIR domain, were identified as central to optimising the collaboration of professionals within the primary-secondary care continuum: (1) software and record integration; (2) seamless personal interaction; (3) eliminating a sense of ‘us vs them’ and (4) gaps in continuity of care.
This study reveals that healthcare professionals in both primary and secondary care face similar collaboration challenges due to system-level issues and inadequate collaboration tools, leading to increased workload, miscommunication and reduced quality of care. Improving collaboration between GPs and specialists requires not only adjustments to individual services, but a comprehensive overhaul of the referral and back-referral process. A more integrated approach, addressing key domains, is crucial for enhancing care quality, streamlining workflows and improving health outcomes.
Being exposed to adverse psychosocial working conditions contributes to poor mental health in young workers. This study explores whether psychosocial work adversities are a necessary condition for work-related emotional exhaustion in young workers.
Data from the ‘Netherlands Working Condition Survey 2021’ was used. By applying a novel method called Necessary Condition Analysis, we tested two psychosocial work adversities as necessary conditions for high work-related emotional exhaustion in young workers: (1) a composite score of high job demands and low job resources and (2) a composite score of high job demands. Additionally, we tested whether the threshold for job demands as a necessary condition for high work-related emotional exhaustion differed for young workers with low versus high resources.
Secondary data analysis on a national working population-based survey.
The sample included 5791 young workers in the Netherlands (aged
Work-related emotional exhaustion.
A high level of the composite on job demands and job resources is necessary for a high level of work-related emotional exhaustion in young workers (effect size=0.11, p
Both psychosocial work adversities were necessary conditions for high work-related emotional exhaustion in young workers. The necessity threshold for job demands was higher for young workers with high job resources, compared with the group with low resources. This indicates that removing psychosocial work adversities and ensuring the presence of job resources might contribute to the prevention of high work-related emotional exhaustion in young workers.
Risk of cognitive decline following epilepsy surgery can be a significant barrier for patients pursuing surgery, and post-surgical cognitive changes can impact quality of life (QOL), surgical satisfaction and functional independence. Readiness Brain Operation Optimization Training (ReBOOT) is a virtual cognitive prehabilitation intervention that provides patients with psychoeducation and cognitive strategies prior to surgery to increase pre-surgical preparedness and post-surgical functional independence in the circumstance that a patient experiences cognitive decline after surgery. The primary aim of this feasibility trial is to evaluate the acceptability, adherence and procedural feasibility of implementing ReBOOT in patients being evaluated for epilepsy surgery. Secondary, explorative objectives include examining preliminary trends in QOL, compensatory strategy use, cognitive function and psychosocial outcomes to inform a future definitive trial.
This is a single-centre, parallel-group, feasibility randomised controlled trial of a standardised cognitive prehabilitation programme for patients who are considering epilepsy surgery. Participants are randomly assigned to intervention (n=32) or control groups (n=32). The intervention group is enrolled in ReBOOT, a virtual programme that includes two 1-hour individual sessions and four 1-hour group sessions. Feasibility outcomes include attendance, homework adherence, attrition and participant satisfaction for participants randomised to the intervention group. Exploratory analyses will use longitudinal linear mixed-effects models to describe trends in exploratory outcomes over time. Data will be used to refine procedures and estimate parameters (eg, effect sizes and variance) for a future fully powered trial.
Cleveland Clinic Institutional Review Board approved the study protocol, which is publicly available and registered on the National Institutes of Health ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05992402) site. Results will be disseminated through conference presentations and academic publications, as well as shared with outside study sponsors (Society for Clinical Neuropsychology—Division 40 of the American Psychological Association; American Epilepsy Society).
Adolescent pregnancy is a global issue. Early childbearing is strongly linked to poverty and negative health outcomes, including increased neonatal death risk. This study explores spatial patterns of adolescent pregnancies and neonatal deaths and their association with socioeconomic characteristics.
This population-based study used spatial analysis techniques to investigate the geographical distribution of adolescent pregnancies, socioeconomic characteristics and neonatal mortality rate (NMR).
The 645 municipalities of State of Sao Paulo, Brazil.
All live births to mothers residing in the State of Sao Paulo, Brazil, between 2004 and 2020.
The socioeconomic indicators used were: municipal human development index and per capita income (PCI). Spatial patterns were assessed for spatial autocorrelation (Moran’s I, LISA), and smoothed using local Bayesian estimation. Spearman’s correlation was used to ascertain the relationship between the percentage of live births to adolescent mothers and socioeconomic indexes. This calculation was also undertaken between different maternal age groups of NMR.
The study analysed over 10 million live births, with 14.3% attributed to adolescent mothers. Spatial analysis revealed significant clustering of adolescent pregnancies, strongly associated with lower socioeconomic indicators. NMR also exhibited spatial clustering, particularly after smoothing. Statistically significant differences were observed in PCI medians between high–high and low–low clusters for adolescent births. High and low incidence areas of NMR, both in all maternal ages and stratified by adolescent and non-adolescent mothers, demonstrated considerable overlap.
The results indicated the existence of clustering areas of adolescent pregnancy and neonatal deaths and suggested that the prevalence of births to adolescent mothers is not distributed equally and is higher in lower socioeconomic developed areas.
As of 2024, 123.2 million people had been forcibly displaced as a result of persecution, armed conflict or climate-related catastrophes, and these numbers are predicted to rise. There is a growing awareness of possible intergenerational effects of trauma on life-course health and well-being, however few studies have followed individuals longitudinally starting prenatally. This paper describes the first large prenatal birth cohort study in a refugee context in a lower middle-income country. This study aims to investigate the potential lifespan health and developmental implications of being born into a protracted humanitarian context, and what factors can buffer from the adversity posed by conflict and displacement.
We outline our approach of recruiting, consenting and gathering data from pregnant Rohingya refugee and host community women (N=2888; 80% Rohingya) over the course of 12 months in Cox’s Bazar, Bangladesh.
A fifth wave of data collection, when children were 6 months old, was completed in April 2025. Rohingya women were substantially less literate; were marrying and having children at slightly younger ages, were more likely to live in crowded, resource-limited households and exhibited higher rates of clinically significant post-traumatic stress disorder and anxiety than host community women.
There is a critical need for research in displaced populations in order to elucidate potentially lasting transgenerational impacts of experiencing conflict and displacement trauma, and the prenatal and postnatal factors that support health and development across the life span. The next follow-up is planned when the children turn 36 months of age (starting March 2026).
Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in critically ill patients is often undetected. However, it is unclear whether ultrasound surveillance for early detection of DVT in high-risk medical-surgical intensive care unit (ICU) patients improves patients’ outcomes. The DETECT trial (Diagnosing deep-vein thrombosis early in critically ill patients) evaluates the effect of twice-weekly bilateral lower limb ultrasound compared to usual care on 90-day mortality of critically ill adult patients admitted to medical, surgical and trauma ICUs.
The DETECT trial is an international, parallel-group, open-label, randomised trial, which will recruit 1800 critically ill adults from over 14 hospitals in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. Eligible patients will be allocated to twice-weekly bilateral lower limb ultrasound or usual care. The primary outcome is 90-day mortality. Secondary outcomes include lower limb proximal DVT, pulmonary embolism and clinically important bleeding. The first patient was enrolled on 21 March 2023. As of 8 April 2025, 711 patients have been enrolled from 14 centres in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. The first interim analysis was conducted on 14 May 2025. We expect to complete recruitment by December 2026.
Institutional review boards (IRBs) of each participating institution approved the study. We plan to publish the results in peer-reviewed journals and present the findings at international critical care conferences.
Clinicaltrials.gov: NCT05112705, registered on 9-11-2021.
The vast majority of healthcare research in the UK is investigator-led. While national progress in patient and public involvement (PPI) increasingly mandates patient consultation, research questions and outcomes still frequently misalign with patient priorities. This is particularly important in rare disease research, as more than 95% of 11 000 conditions have no effective or curative treatment, and around 20% are not clinically defined, making them difficult to diagnose and manage. The unmet physical, mental and emotional needs of people living with rare diseases are immense. Extensive guidance and toolkits exist to support investigators with PPI, but none target patient communities attempting to promote their own priorities, initiate or co-lead research.
This communication article introduces the newly established patient-led Rare Disease Research Network (RDRN).
Launched in November 2024, the RDRN is an open-access collaborative platform designed to support patient-driven and co-produced research, connecting patient and professional partners with similar research interests. Originally conceived by an ultra-rare patient group, the network was co-produced with the rare disease community, including individuals living with rare conditions, parents, carers and charity advocates, whose lived experience and priorities shaped every aspect of its design. Supported by academic and research networks, its collaborative development ensures RDRN removes barriers to participation while complementing existing initiatives. RDRN is a novel approach to driving new impactful research by aligning investigator priorities with real-world needs and building capacity from patients outward. Rare disease communities bring lived expertise, creativity and motivation. Yet without a structured route to collaborate, their insights are often lost. RDRN offers an inclusive space, fostering new partnerships and supporting upstream collaboration. The approach enables patients to become ‘research ready’ and empowers them to have an active role in generating ideas and delivering research from inception, leading to innovative research and driving meaningful change in patients’ lives. With further development, RDRN could present a lasting, scalable and unified model for co-designed rare disease research. By enabling trust, capacity and shared purpose, it can drive discovery, improve outcomes and build a more resilient and self-sustaining research ecosystem, underpinning key pillars of the 2021 UK Rare Diseases Framework.
To examine chronic kidney disease (CKD) prevalence, incidence, prognosis, kidney function decline and associated risk factors among people with diabetes and/or hypertension.
Cross-sectional multicentre study.
14 primary care centres across Jakarta.
Adults (≥18 years) with diabetes and/or hypertension were included. Exclusion criteria were receiving kidney replacement therapy, language barrier, cognitive impairments, refusal to consent and pregnancy. Participants were grouped into three categories: hypertension only, diabetes only and both.
None.
Primary outcomes included CKD prevalence, incidence, number-needed-to-screen, KDIGO-based prognosis and annual kidney function decline. Secondary outcomes were risk factors for CKD, uncontrolled blood glucose, blood pressure and albuminuria.
A total of 1263 participants were enrolled: 51% had hypertension, 17.6% diabetes and 31.4% both. Mean age: 57.1±10.2 years, 72.2% female and 76% obese. Renin angiotensin aldosterone system inhibitors were prescribed in 32.3%, and only 1.2% used insulin despite a median glycated haemoglobin of 7.5% (IQR: 6.5–9.1). CKD prevalence was 14.8%, with an incidence rate of 9.1 per 100 person-years; number-needed-to-screen was 7. Based on KDIGO criteria, 48.9% were at moderate-to-very high risk of adverse outcomes. Baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate was 80.9 (SE=10.1), declining by 4.7 (SE=9.9) mL/min/1.73 m2 annually. CKD incidence was higher with albuminuria (OR 3.6, p=0.007) in the combined group; older age (OR 4.5, p
CKD burden is high among people with diabetes and hypertension. Nearly half were at elevated risk despite preserved kidney function, highlighting the need for targeted early screening.
The transition from hospital to home can be challenging for parents of premature infants due to a lack of education on specific care. This may lead to both higher readmission rates and healthcare costs. Telehealth interventions can improve the quality of care specific to premature and critically ill newborns. This protocol outlines the WELCOME study and evaluates its feasibility and effectiveness of this approach.
This two-centre randomised control trial (RCT) will assign 240 families with premature and critically ill newborns to an intervention or control group. The study has a parallel group design and an exploratory framework. The control group will receive standard postdischarge care. The intervention group will additionally receive scheduled video consultations, digital assessments and 24/7 access to educational resources. Primary outcomes will focus on 30-day readmission and emergency care use. Secondary outcomes will include child development and parental health. The intervention is expected to be feasible, with high acceptance and minimal drop-out. It will aim to improve parents’ self-efficacy and health literacy. If successful, insights from this multimethod telehealth study will inform standard care.
Results will be published in anonymised and summarised form in international and national journals and symposia. The study received ethical approval from the Ethics Committee of the Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich (No. 25-0028) and was registered in the German Clinical Trials Register on 6 March 2025 (DRKS00034422).
DRKS00034422.
Frequent use of emergency departments (EDs) places a considerable burden on healthcare systems. Although frequent attenders are known to have complex physical, mental health and social needs, national-level evidence on their characteristics and patterns of attendance remains limited. This study aimed to provide a comprehensive, population-level description of frequent ED attendance in England, with a focus on age-based subgroups.
Retrospective cohort study.
EDs in England via the Hospital Episode Statistics and the Emergency Care Dataset data linked with primary care prescribing and mortality data, between March 2016 and March 2021.
The dataset received from National Health Service Digital contained approximately 150 million ED attendances by 30 million adult (>18 years) patients over the time period April 2016 to March 2021. A random sample of 5 million people was used for this analysis.
The primary outcome was the number of attendances in each financial year by frequent attenders compared with the remaining patients, split by age bands. Patients were classified as frequent attenders if they had ≥5 or ≥10 ED attendances within a rolling 12-month period. Secondary outcomes included demographic, diagnostic and prescribing characteristics, as well as the number of different ED sites visited.
A Gaussian mixture model was used to identify age-based subgroups. Descriptive statistics were used to summarise key features; 95% CIs were reported where applicable. Among 3.91 million unique adult ED attenders, there were 8.7 million attendances. Of these, 222 160 individuals (5.7%) had ≥5 attendances in a year, accounting for 12.6% of total attendances. A trimodal age distribution was identified, with three distinct peaks corresponding to ages 18–34, 35–64 and 65+. Frequent attenders were more likely to live in deprived areas and have a history of psychotropic or analgesic prescribing. Mental health diagnoses and polypharmacy were particularly common in the younger and middle-aged groups. Multisite attendance was uncommon, with over 80% of frequent attenders using only one ED site annually.
This national analysis reveals a trimodal age pattern among frequent ED attenders, with differing clinical and socio-demographic profiles across age groups. These findings highlight the need for age-tailored approaches to managing high-intensity ED use and inform targeted service development.
As the HIV epidemic stabilises in Sub-Saharan Africa with effective antiretroviral therapy, cardiometabolic disorders (CMDs) remain the next major challenge for people living with HIV. Relationship dynamics and spousal support are important for the medical management of single diseases such as HIV, yet little is known about how couples manage the complexity of multiple competing health conditions and their synergistic effects on health. The Healthy Hearts study aimed to develop a conceptual model of dyadic management of HIV and CMDs, inform interventions for couples in Sub-Saharan Africa, and ultimately improve clinical practice and disease management for HIV and CMD comorbidities.
This study will enrol 250 couples who have at least one partner living with HIV and CMD (either hypertension or diabetes) for a prospective observational cohort study. Patients will be recruited from HIV and CMD clinics in Zomba and Blantyre, Malawi. Couples will attend four study visits at quarterly intervals over 12 months. Both partners are given interviewer-administered surveys and complete a clinical assessment. Regression techniques will be used to test associations between key constructs in our conceptual model, including communal coping, multimorbidity illness perceptions, relationship quality, psychosocial health, disease management (eg, adherence to lifestyle advice and medications) and disease outcomes (eg, viral suppression and CMD control). Findings will be used to identify elements to target in a couple-based intervention for CMD and HIV.
This study was approved by the University of California, San Francisco (HRPP (Human Research Protection Program); Protocol number 20–32126), and the National Health Sciences Research Committee of Malawi (Protocol number 21/04/2677). The results will be disseminated at local community meetings and conferences focused on relationships, CMDs and HIV and published in scientific journals.
Patients receiving haemodialysis are at very high risk of fragility fracture, yet there are no proven treatments for fracture prevention. We will advance a pilot study on the feasibility of a large, pragmatic, randomised controlled trial (RCT) of denosumab for fragility fracture prevention in haemodialysis.
PRevEnting FracturEs in REnal Disease-1 is a pragmatic, open-label, pilot study of an RCT of a denosumab care pathway embedded in routine care haemodialysis centres.
We will recruit at least 60 participants at high risk of fracture from at least 6 haemodialysis centres in Ontario, Canada. They must be aged 40 years or older, have access to provincial drug coverage, have appropriate baseline calcium and parathyroid hormone levels and be deemed suitable for denosumab by their kidney care provider. Participants will be randomised 1:1 to denosumab (with supports to mitigate hypocalcaemia) versus usual care using block randomisation by a central statistician (computer-generated sequence). Primary outcomes include recruitment feasibility and adherence. Secondary outcomes include safety (hypocalcaemia) and participant satisfaction with our protocol and processes. Study investigators and data analysts will be blind to treatment allocation.
We will present results descriptively. The trial was approved by Clinical Trials Ontario and local research ethics boards across study sites.
Primary and secondary outcomes will be published on trial completion.
This pilot will inform the feasibility of conducting a large-scale, efficiently run, pragmatic RCT to test whether a denosumab care pathway safely reduces the risk of fragility fracture in patients receiving haemodialysis. Results have the potential to transform fracture care in real-world patients with kidney and metabolic bone disease.
Despite the abundant evidence showing the benefits of muscle-strengthening exercise (MSE), no epidemiological tool is available for assessing MSE among Indonesian university students. This study is the first to adapt the Muscle-Strengthening Exercise Questionnaire (MSEQ) from its original English version into another language, specifically Indonesian, incorporating cultural adaptations and to pilot test it to assess its validity and reliability among university students in Indonesia.
Translation and cultural adaptation, content validity studies, concurrent validity studies and reliability studies were conducted following COnsensus-based Standards for the Selection of Health Status Measurement INstruments guidelines. Content validation, conducted with three experts and nine university students, informed the development of the MSEQ Indonesian version. The concurrent validity study compared the results of measuring MSE frequency, intensity, duration and volume with those of the 7-day diary and relative handgrip strength with 22 respondents for concurrent validity against subjective measurement and 70 respondents for concurrent validity against objective measurement. For the reliability study, 39 respondents were asked to fill the MSEQ Indonesian version twice with a time interval of 7 days.
The study involved 143 participants, including experts and university students from three universities across two different islands in Indonesia.
Single administration MSEQ, consecutive administration MSEQ and 7-day diary recording resulted in 0%, 33.8% and 68.5% dropout rate, respectively. Moderate-to-strong correlations were observed between the results for the weekly frequency, duration, intensity and volume of MSE and those of the 7-day diary and hand grip strength. Test–retest reliabilities were good to excellent for machine weight, holistic and overall MSE but poor for bodyweight MSE. In assessing the target muscle group, the MSEQ Indonesian version showed good test–retest reliability for machine-weight MSE but poor-to-very good test–retest reliability for bodyweight, free weight and holistic MSE.
Our study demonstrated the acceptable validity and reliability of the Indonesian version of the MSEQ for assessing MSE among university students in Indonesia, not only by comparing each dimension of MSE with subjective measures but also by comparing MSE volume with objective measures. To enhance the generalisability of these findings, future studies should assess the MSEQ Indonesian version in diverse adult populations by considering dropout rates found by our study, ensuring its broader applicability and sample size adequacy.
Scoping reviews, mapping reviews and evidence and gap maps (collectively known as ‘big picture reviews’) in health continue to gain popularity within the evidence ecosystem. These big-picture reviews are beneficial for policy-makers, guideline developers and researchers within the field of health for understanding the available evidence, characteristics, concepts and research gaps, which are often needed to support the development of policies, guidelines and practice. However, these reviews often face criticism related to poor and inconsistent methodological conduct and reporting. There is a need to understand which areas of these reviews require further methodological clarification and exploration. The aim of this project is to develop a research agenda for scoping reviews, mapping reviews and evidence and gap maps in health by identifying and prioritising specific research questions related to methodological uncertainties.
A modified e-Delphi process will be adopted. Participants (anticipated N=100) will include patients, clinicians, the public, researchers and others invested in creating a strategic research agenda for these reviews. This Delphi will be completed in four consecutive stages, including a survey collecting the methodological uncertainties for each of the big picture reviews, the development of research questions based on that survey and two further surveys and four workshops to prioritise the research questions.
This study was approved by the University of Adelaide Human Research Ethics Committee (H-2024-188). The results will be communicated through open-access peer-reviewed publications and conferences. Videos and infographics will be developed and placed on the JBI (previously Joanna Briggs Institute) Scoping Review Network webpage.
Ethiopia, the second most populous country in Africa, faces significant demographic transitions, with fertility rates playing a central role in shaping economic and healthcare policies. Family planning programmes face challenges due to funding limitations. The recent suspension of the US Agency for International Development funding exacerbates these issues, highlighting the need for accurate birth forecasting to guide policy and resource allocation. This study applied time-series and advanced machine-learning models to forecast future birth trends in Ethiopia.
Secondary data from the Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey from 2000 to 2019 were used. After data preprocessing steps, including data conversion, filtering, aggregation and transformation, stationarity was checked using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test. Time-series decomposition was then performed, followed by time-series splitting. Seven forecasting models, including Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average, Prophet, Generalised Linear Models with Elastic Net Regularisation (GLMNET), Random Forest and Prophet-XGBoost, were built and compared. The models’ performance was evaluated using key metrics such as root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and R-squared value.
GLMNET emerged as the best model, explaining 77% of the variance with an RMSE of 119.01. Prophet-XGBoost performed reasonably well but struggled to capture the full complexity of the data, with a lower R-squared value of 0.32 and an RMSE of 146.87. Forecasts were made for both average monthly births and average births per woman over a 10-year horizon (2025–2034). The forecast for average monthly births indicated a gradual decline over the projection period. Meanwhile, the average births per woman showed an increasing trend but fluctuated over time, influenced by demographic shifts such as changes in fertility preferences, age structure and migration patterns.
This study demonstrates the effectiveness of combining time-series models and machine learning, with GLMNET and Prophet XGBoost emerging as the most effective. While average monthly births are expected to decline due to demographic transitions and migration, the average births per woman will remain high, reflecting persistent fertility preferences within certain subpopulations. These findings underscore the need for policies addressing both population trends and sociocultural factors.
Most older adults living in residential aged care facilities (RACFs) have at least one marker of potentially suboptimal prescribing. Pharmacists play a crucial role in medication management, with their effectiveness enhanced by using computerised decision support tools. The Pharmacists Review to Optimise Medicines in Residential Aged Care (PROMPT-RC) study aims to optimise medicine use by providing pharmacists in RACFs with an electronic medicine management app with integrated decision support (AusTAPER App/Pathway) to use as part of medication reviews they undertake.
The PROMPT-RC study is a parallel cluster randomised controlled trial design involving Australian RACFs. It will assess if pharmacists’ use of the AusTAPER App/Pathway for medication reviews improves medication regimens for RACF residents compared with usual care. Pharmacists in RACFs randomised to the intervention arm will be trained to use the AusTAPER App/Pathway, which flags potentially inappropriate medicines (PIMs) across a person’s entire medicine regimen. Pharmacists in RACFs randomised to the control arm will not have access to the AusTAPER App/Pathway—they will continue to provide usual care. The primary outcome is the difference in the number of regular medicines between treatment arms at 12 months. Secondary outcomes will measure the number of regular and pro re nata medicines, PIMs, medicine administration times, medicine regimen complexity, use of antipsychotics, antidepressants, and benzodiazepines, quality of life, mortality, instances of physical restraint, and the number of falls, hospitalisations and general practitioner/health professional visits. The cost-effectiveness of the AusTAPER App/Pathway compared with usual care will be calculated. Data collection will occur at baseline, 3, 6, 9 and 12 months postrandomisation and 3 and 6 months prebaseline. We aim to recruit 668 participants to adjust for an estimated 10% loss to follow-up, giving 334 participants in each arm. Data analysis will follow an intention-to-treat approach using a linear mixed model.
Ethical approval was obtained from The University of Western Australia Human Research Ethics Committee (Reference: 2024/ET000525; approved 14 August 2024). Reciprocal approval was also obtained in other states. This study is registered on the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (https://anzctr.org.au). Trial findings will be disseminated through national and international peer-reviewed publications and conferences.
ACTRN12624001409561.
Regular physical exercise has well-known health benefits and is generally considered safe for adults with congenital heart disease (ACHD). However, many individuals with ACHD remain insufficiently physically active. This study explored the barriers and needs related to physical exercise as experienced by people with ACHD to inform the development of tailored strategies that support and promote increased physical activity.
Qualitative study using semistructured interviews conducted between March and May 2023. The interview guide was based on the Fear Avoidance Model, Tampa Scale for Kinesiophobia Heart and European Society of Cardiology guidelines on sports cardiology and exercise for cardiovascular diseases. Interviews were coded and thematically analysed to identify specific physical exercise barriers and needs.
Data saturation was reached after interviewing 19 individuals living with ACHD (median age 46 years (range 24–75), 10 women). Thematic analysis identified four main barriers: (1) physical symptoms and negative past experiences, (2) alienation from peers, (3) perceived decline in physical fitness over time and (4) lack of knowledge about personal physical boundaries. Two needs were identified: (1) personalised, disease-specific exercise information and advice and (2) structured support and guidance from healthcare professionals.
People with ACHD face multiple barriers to engaging in physical exercise. There is a clear need for specific, personalised exercise advice from healthcare providers and the development of long-term programmes and interventions to overcome relevant barriers.