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The cost-effectiveness of penicillin allergy assessment pathway (PAAP): a decision analysis

Por: Yang · M. · Bestwick · R. · Howdon · D. · Ahmed · S. · Powell · N. · Armitage · K. F. · Fielding · J. · Porter · C. E. · Savic · S. · West · R. M. · Howard · P. · Galal · U. · Pavitt · S. · Sandoe · J. A. · Mujica-Mota · R. E.
Objective

To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of implementing a penicillin allergy assessment pathway (PAAP) versus usual care within the NHS.

Design

A decision tree analysis over a 5-year time-period, informed by a randomised controlled trial (RCT) of PAAP and systematic review. Value of information analysis was also conducted to estimate the value of conducting a new trial.

Data sources

Model inputs were informed by the ALABAMA RCT participants included in the primary analysis, 811 adults with penicillin allergy labels and recent antibiotic prescriptions, and data from published literature.

Interventions

Participants in the ALABAMA trial included in the primary analysis: PAAP (n=401) and usual care (n=410).

Primary and secondary outcome measures

Costs are presented in GBP (£) at 2022–2023 prices, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, incremental net monetary benefit (INMB), the probability of cost-effectiveness at the £20,000 and £30,000 per QALY threshold, and the cost effectiveness of a new follow-on trial.

Results

PAAP had incremental costs of £–83 (probability of cost saving 47.5%) and incremental QALYs of 0.036 (probability of positive benefits 47.5%). The INMBs (probability of cost-effectiveness) were £806 (48%) and £1167 (48%) under the decision thresholds of £20,000 and £30,000 per QALY, respectively. PAAP was more cost-effective among females, people aged >65 years, and more frequent antibiotic users. A new follow-on trial involving 1267 participants was estimated to cost £2.4 million and, by reducing uncertainty in the evidence, would avoid £19.6 million in costs of incorrect management decisions for eligible patients over the next 10 years.

Conclusion

The PAAP was considered cost-effective, but significant uncertainty remained. Future trials with adequate power and longer follow-up are needed to determine the most cost-effective models for penicillin allergy testing.

Trial registration number

ISRCTN20579216.

Prospective cohort study on the characteristics of acute poisoning patients at a tertiary care hospital in Pakistan

Por: Muhammad · S. · Almani · K. F. · Mughal · U.-u.-R. · Khaskheli · M. S. · Sultana · R. · Tabassum · R. · Ahmed · S. · Ahmad · R. · Kumar · N.
Objective

This study aimed to determine the characteristics of acute poisoning patients.

Design

This was a prospective cohort study.

Setting

The study was conducted for 1 year (1 July 2023 to 30 June 2024) at a tertiary care hospital in Sindh, Pakistan.

Participants

From the patients who arrived at the emergency department due to poisoning, 1404 were registered and included in the study.

Outcome measures

The data were collected on demographics (gender, age, residential area, education, employment) and poisoning characteristics, prehospital care, treatment, and services at the hospital, and treatment outcomes (survived and died). A 2 test was used to find the association between independent variables and treatment outcomes. A multivariate logistic regression model was used to determine the predictors of death at a 95% CI.

Results

The majority of patients were male (57.1%) and aged ≤30 years (77.6%). The poisoning was primarily intentional (67.5%), and pesticides (56.1%) were commonly involved in the poisoning. The patients were managed mainly by symptomatic treatment (98.1%) and gastric lavage (65.1%). Multivariate logistic regression indicated that delayed reporting (adjusted OR (AOR)=2.00; 95% CI 1.20 to 3.36; p=0.008) and non-existence of antidote (AOR=1.81; 95% CI 1.08 to 3.03; p=0.025) increased the odds of death while unintentional poisoning (AOR=0.27; 95% CI 0.14 to 0.51; p

Conclusion

The study found that the intentional pesticide poisoning within uneducated, young populations in rural areas was significantly prevalent, and early identification and management of severe cases and extended hospital stays influenced survival.

Mental health disorders among people living with HIV in sub-Saharan Africa: a scoping review protocol

Por: Adedeji · W. A. · Ishola · A. G. · Elugbadebo · O. · Oladepo · O. M. · Mudzviti · T. · Kaiyo-Utete · M. · Willis · N. · Adebayo · D. A. · Mtisi · T. J. · Chokuona · K. F. V. · Ma · Q. · Cha · R. · Hutson · A. · Charurat · M. E. · Yusuf · O. B. · Maponga · C. · Fehintola · F. A. · Gureje
Background

The mental health of people living with HIV (PLWH) is a growing concern globally, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), where there is limited access to mental healthcare, with evidence showing high levels of depression, anxiety and neurocognitive disorders among this population. While Mental Health Disorders (MHDs) can impede HIV care and promote adverse health outcomes, there is limited literature on MHDs among PLWH. This scoping review will explore the existing literature on the burden and factors associated with MHDs among adults living with HIV in SSA.

Methods and analysis

Arksey and O’Malley’s methodological framework will guide the search of this scoping review. Relevant original research articles published in English from 1 January 2000 to 31 May 2025 on MHDs among PLWH in SSA will be identified through searches in the African Index Medicus, African Journal Online, PubMed and Embase databases. Four independent reviewers, working in pairs (one reviewer and one verifier), will screen the titles, abstracts and later the full texts, adopting the population, concept and context framework. Other coauthors will serve as tiebreakers whenever there is disagreement on the eligibility. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews flowchart will be presented. We will perform a narrative synthesis to report our findings.

Ethics and dissemination

This scoping review protocol does not require ethical approval, as it relies solely on publicly available existing data and does not involve human participants. We will disseminate the findings from this review through peer-reviewed publications and presentations at local and international conferences.

Trial registration

The protocol was registered in the Open Science Framework (https://osf.io/8ymqu).

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