There are little available data on the prevalence, economic and quality of life impacts of musculoskeletal disorders in sub-Saharan Africa. This lack of evidence is wholly disproportionate to the significant disability burden of musculoskeletal disorders as reported in high-income countries. Our research aimed to undertake an adequately powered study to identify, measure and value the health impact of musculoskeletal conditions in the Kilimanjaro region, Tanzania.

A community-based cross-sectional survey was undertaken between January 2021 and September 2021. A two-stage cluster sampling with replacement and probability proportional to size was used to select a representative sample of the population.

The survey was conducted in 15 villages in the Hai District, Kilimanjaro region, Tanzania.

Economic and health-related quality of life (HRQOL) questionnaires were administered to a sample of residents (aged over 5 years old) in selected households (N=1050). There were a total of 594 respondents, of whom 153 had a confirmed musculoskeletal disorder and 441 matched controls. Almost three-quarters of those identified as having a musculoskeletal disorder were female and had an average age of 66 years.

Questions on healthcare resource use, expenditure and quality of life were administered to all participants, with additional more detailed economic and quality of life questions administered to those who screened positive, indicating probable arthritis.

There is a statistically significant reduction in HRQOL, on average 25% from a utility score of 0.862 (0.837, 0.886) to 0.636 (0.580, 0.692) for those identified as having a musculoskeletal disorder compared with those without. The attributes ‘pain’ and ‘discomfort’ were the major contributors to this reduction in HRQOL.

This research has revealed a significant impact of musculoskeletal conditions on HRQOL in the Hai district in Tanzania. The evidence will be used to guide clinical health practices, interventions design, service provisions and health promotion and awareness activities at institutional, regional and national levels.

The development of the target trial emulation (TTE) methodology has enhanced the conduct of non-randomised studies. By leveraging readily available routinely collected data, TTEs offer opportunities for complementing randomised controlled trials (RCTs), providing more precise estimates and improving the external validity of RCTs. To explore this potential, we selected a successfully completed RCT as a case study. In the FIRST-line support for Assistance in Breathing in Children (FIRST-ABC) step-up RCT, high flow nasal cannula (HFNC) was found to be non-inferior to continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) in terms of time to liberation from respiratory support in the paediatric critical care setting. We will emulate the FIRST-ABC step-up trial using routinely collected data from the Paediatric Intensive Care Audit Network (PICANet) database.

This is a protocol for a TTE that will use longitudinally collected data from the PICANet database. The study aims to emulate the FIRST-ABC step-up RCT using an observational study design in a frequentist framework. We will benchmark the results against the published trial. The study will apply a new-user design by selecting children admitted to paediatric intensive care units that started HFNC or non-invasive ventilatory support (as a surrogate for CPAP). The eligibility criteria and selected outcomes will reflect those of FIRST-ABC within the constraints of the available routinely collected data. We will use advanced quantitative doubly robust methods to minimise the impact of confounding by indication and allow for heterogeneity according to child characteristics. The analysis will be repeated using a Bayesian approach for follow-up research.

The research received ethics approval from the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine Research Ethics Committee. This study will expand the findings from the FIRST-ABC step-up RCT, providing additional insight from a large representative sample using real-world data. The frequentist and Bayesian approaches will enable a discussion about the advantages and drawbacks of the two strategies. The results will be disseminated to the research and clinical community and made accessible to the public. In addition, the study results will be used in future research, which aims to supplement RCTs with additional evidence from a TTE.

Randomised controlled trials have aimed to assess the effectiveness of stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) with curative intent versus surgical resection for individuals diagnosed with early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) but have failed to recruit sufficient numbers of patients. Non-randomised studies for early-stage NSCLC have reported mixed outcomes following curative SABR versus surgical resection, but did not fully address confounding by indication. The Surgery Or RadioTherapy for early-stage cancer study (SORT) will assess the comparative effectiveness of SABR with curative intent versus surgical resection for NSCLC with a target trial emulation approach, as this can reduce biases in observational studies that aim to estimate the causal effect of interventions.

The SORT study will use the National Cancer Registry for individuals diagnosed with early-stage NSCLC in England during 2015–2020 (inclusive) who received SABR with curative intent or surgical resection. These data will be linked to Hospital Episode Statistics, National Radiotherapy Data Set and the Systemic Anti-Cancer Therapy dataset to obtain information on clinical and sociodemographic characteristics and the treatment received. This target trial emulation will define study population eligibility criteria and regimens for SABR with curative intent and surgical resection. We will reduce the risk of residual confounding with instrumental variable analyses that will exploit geographical variation across the National Health Service in England in the use of SABR with curative intent versus surgical resection for early-stage NSCLC. The primary outcome will be 3-year all-cause mortality after treatment initiation. Secondary outcomes will include 3-month, 6-month, 12-month and 24-month all-cause and lung-cancer mortality, time to death, numbers of hospitalisations, incremental costs and incremental cost-effectiveness.

Ethical approval was obtained from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine Research Ethics Committee (reference number 29 717–1). Results will be disseminated to clinicians, patients, policy-makers and researchers.