Hospital length of stay (LOS) is a key indicator of hospital efficiency and quality of care, but a reliable metric for benchmarking LOS remains problematic. This report describes a time-to-event methodology to generate a hospital standardised LOS ratio (HSLR).
Retrospective observational analysis of LOS from a jurisdictional administrative dataset using a time-to-event (hazard of discharge) analytic approach to generate risk-adjusted LOS (predicted LOS—pLOS), and the HSLR (= (sum observed LOS)/(sum total pLOS)).
219 (public and private) acute-care hospitals in the State of Victoria, Australia, adult population 5.28 million.
2.73 million adult multiday separations and 15.53 million bed-days from July 2019 to June 2024.
Nil.
Descriptive statistics for annual mean LOS (aLOS), pLOS and HSLR at the hospital level with model fit assessed for calibration (Cox-Snell residuals), classification (aLOS and HSLR results for hospital-years compared to benchmark), variance (intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) at provider level) and model dispersion (value () and random effect SD ()) characteristics.
Observed LOS was markedly right skewed and autocorrelated (p3 SD of benchmark); whereas 936 (99.5%) HSLR values were inliers (
aLOS is a simple descriptor but poor comparator. Time-to-event survival analytic models furnish risk-adjusted pLOS and HSLR metrics which indicate that the majority of LOS variation is due to patient-related, not hospital, factors.
Cellulitis is a common bacterial skin infection causing significant pain, swelling and impact on daily activities, frequently leading to emergency department presentations and hospital admissions. While antibiotics are the mainstay of treatment, they do not directly address inflammation, often resulting in persisting or worsening symptoms in the initial days. Corticosteroids, with their potent anti-inflammatory effects, have shown benefit in other acute infections but are not currently standard care for patients with cellulitis. This trial aims to determine if adjunctive oral dexamethasone can reduce pain and improve outcomes in adults with cellulitis presenting to UK urgent secondary care settings.
This is a pragmatic, multicentre, double-blind, placebo-controlled, randomised, parallel group, phase 3 superiority trial, with an internal pilot and parallel health economic evaluation. Adult patients (≥16 years) with a clinical diagnosis of cellulitis (at any body site except the orbit) presenting to urgent secondary care will be screened for eligibility. 450 participants will be randomised (1:1) to receive either two 8 mg doses of oral dexamethasone or matched placebo, administered approximately 24 hours apart, in addition to standard antibiotic therapy. The primary outcome is total pain experienced over the first 3 days postrandomisation, calculated using the standardised area under the curve from pain scores (Numerical Rating Scale 0–10) across up to seven timepoints. Secondary outcomes include health-related quality of life (EuroQol 5 Dimension 5 Level), patient global impression of improvement, analgesia and antibiotic usage, hospital (re)admissions, complications, unscheduled healthcare use, cellulitis recurrence and cost-effectiveness at 90 days. The primary estimand will apply a treatment policy approach to intercurrent events.
The trial has received ethical approval from South Central—Oxford B Research Ethics Committee (reference: 24/SC/0289) and will be conducted in compliance with Good Clinical Practice and applicable regulations. Informed consent will be obtained from all participants. A model consent form can be seen in . Findings will be disseminated through peer-reviewed publications and conference presentations, and to patient groups and relevant clinical guideline committees.