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Budget impact analysis of glecaprevir/pibrentasvir treatment for hepatitis C in Iran: a modelling study

Por: Jafari · M. · Mehdizadeh · P. · Keshavarz · K. · Teymourzadeh · E. · Abyazi · M. A. · Gholamreza Shirazi · P.
Objectives

Glecaprevir/pibrentasvir (GLE/PIB), despite being a highly costly medication, is considered a cost-effective approach compared with sofosbuvir/velpatasvir (SOF/VEL) and sofosbuvir/daclatasvir (SOF/DCV) in the treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. No study has evaluated the effect of GLE/PIB’s introduction into Iran’s drug list from a health policy perspective and estimated the budgetary impact change. Therefore, this study was conducted to analyse the fiscal effect of the introduction of GLE/PIB into Iran’s drug list.

Design

Budget impact analysis. The assumptions and costs of including GLE/PIB in Iran’s drug list for the treatment of patients with hepatitis C were derived from a conducted cost-effectiveness analysis.

Setting

National level. In this study, the budgetary changes in Iran’s pharmaceutical market and health system, from the Ministry of Health’s perspective, have been estimated for a 5-year time horizon following the introduction of GLE/PIB in the country.

Results

Based on the results obtained from the budget impact model, currently, 4112 patients are receiving SOF/DCV and SOF/VEL therapeutic regimens, which is expected to decrease to 1093 in 2029 owing to the affordability of medications and a 50% estimated market share for GLE/PIB. According to the results, with the introduction of GLE/PIB into the market and assuming a market share of 10% in the first year, growing to 50% by the fifth year, the healthcare system costs will increase by approximately $0.61, $1.77, $3.86, $7.45 and $13.51 million over the next 5 years, respectively. Additionally, based on the drug’s selling price, there will be a 468% increase in hepatitis C drug market costs after 5 years, resulting in an overall budget increase of approximately 0.13% for Iran’s pharmaceutical market. According to the sensitivity analysis, a 20% reduction in chronic hepatitis C (CHC) costs could decrease the projected increase in health sector costs from $13.51 million (an 18.84% increase) to $10.52 million (an 18.16% increase). Conversely, a 20% rise in CHC costs would raise those costs to $16.49 million (a 19.31% increase).

Conclusion

Considering the high price of the GLE/PIB compared with the available options in Iran, with the introduction of GLE/PIB into Iran’s drug list, insurance coverage and appropriate allocation of necessary resources, a reduction in the cost burden because of hepatitis C treatment is expected for individuals and households. Additionally, with a well-regulated market share of existing medications, the optimal treatment choice for patients will be feasible.

Association between individual social capital and depressed mood in older adults in Iran: results from baseline data of Birjand Longitudinal Aging Study

Por: Tajik · A. · Varmaghani · M. · Shirazinia · M. · Sharifi · F. · Honari · S. · Moodi · M. · Barekati · H. · Khorashadizadeh · M. · Naderimagham · S.
Objectives

To examine the association between individual social capital and depression in older adults in Iran and to test the hypothesis that higher levels of social capital are inversely associated with depressive symptoms.

Design

Cross-sectional study using baseline data from a longitudinal cohort.

Setting

Community-based study conducted in primary care settings across urban and rural areas of Birjand County, Eastern Iran.

Participants

A total of 1348 community-dwelling individuals aged 60 years and older were recruited through multistage stratified cluster random sampling. Participants who were bedridden or had end-stage disease (life expectancy

Primary and secondary outcome measures

The primary outcome was depression status, measured using the Patient Health Questionnaire 9 items, with a score≥10 indicating depression. The main explanatory variable was social capital, assessed using a validated 69-item questionnaire capturing domains such as collective activity, social trust and network structure. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were conducted to estimate adjusted ORs and 95% CIs for associations between depression and social capital dimensions. Statistical analyses were performed using Stata V.12.0

Results

Of the total participants, 268 (19.94%) were identified as having depressive symptoms, with a significantly higher prevalence among women (27.44%) compared with men (11.88%). Depression was more prevalent among those in the lowest wealth quintile (32.09%) and individuals with low literacy levels (28.10%). Participation in collective activities was inversely associated with depression in the second (OR=0.62, 95% CI (0.42 to 0.93)), third (OR=0.45, 95% CI (0.29 to 0.71)), fourth (OR=0.59, 95% CI (0.37 to 0.93)) and fifth (OR=0.37, 95% CI (0.22 to 0.61)) quintiles. Social trust was also associated with lower odds of depression in the third (OR=0.62, 95% CI (0.39 to 0.99)) and fourth (OR=0.64, 95% CI (0.42 to 0.97)) quintiles. Furthermore, the second (OR=0.63, 95% CI (0.40 to 0.99)) and fifth (OR=0.38, 95% CI (0.23 to 0.63)) quintiles of social network structure were inversely related to depression. These findings suggest that higher levels of social capital, particularly in terms of collective participation, trust and social networks, are associated with a reduced likelihood of depressive symptoms in older adults.

Conclusions

Higher levels of social capital, particularly collective engagement, interpersonal trust and diverse social networks, are associated with lower odds of depression in older adults. These findings support the need for community-based interventions to strengthen social capital as a strategy for mental health promotion among the elderly in low-income and middle-income settings.

Healthcare costs before and after bariatric surgery in Israel: a nationwide retrospective cohort study

Por: Adler · L. · Bar Yishay · M. · Shiraz · V. · Tal Pony · L. · Kowen Sandbank · G. · Bilitzky Kopit · A. · Yehoshua · I.
Objectives

Studies show conflicting evidence regarding individuals’ healthcare costs following bariatric surgeries. This study aimed to evaluate the healthcare costs of individuals with obesity before and after bariatric surgery and compare them to a matched control group.

Design

Retrospective cohort study.

Setting

Primary care nationwide.

Participants

This retrospective cohort study included all adults insured by Maccabi Healthcare Services who underwent bariatric surgery between 2015 and 2019 and a control group matched by body mass index, age, gender and socioeconomic status (case n=10 178).

Primary and secondary outcomes

We collected each patient’s annual costs for six consecutive years (3 years before and after the index date). We used generalised linear mixed models to assess the interaction between time (presurgery vs postsurgery) and group (bariatric vs control) on healthcare costs during the second and third years before and after surgery, adjusting for covariates not matched between groups, including smoking status, ethnicity and comorbidities. The analyses were made in three age groups: young adults (18–39), adults (40–64) and older adults (65 or more).

Results

From 2015–2019, 10 178 bariatric surgeries were performed (51.9% sleeve gastrectomy, 36.7% bypass surgeries and 11.4% combined surgeries). Total healthcare costs increased after the index date in both the bariatric and control groups, with a greater absolute increase in the bariatric group; however, the between-group differences in cost changes were not statistically significant (p=0.987 for younger adults, p=0.311 for adults and p=0.771 for older adults).

Conclusion

While healthcare costs increased in both groups following the index date, the lack of a significant difference between the bariatric and control groups suggests that bariatric surgery may not lead to short-term cost savings. Ongoing long-term follow-up is essential to fully understand its economic impact.

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