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Risk Prediction Models for Enteral Nutrition Aspiration in Adult Inpatients: A Systematic Review and Critical Appraisal

ABSTRACT

Objective

To systematically identify and appraise existing risk prediction models for EN aspiration in adult inpatients.

Data Sources

A systematic search was conducted across PubMed, Web of Science Core Collection, Embase, Cochrane Library, CINAHL, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), Wanfang Database, China Biomedical Literature Database (CBM) and VIP Database from inception to 1 March 2025.

Study Design

Systematic review of observational studies.

Review Methods

Two researchers independently performed literature screening and data extraction using the Checklist for Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modelling Studies (CHARMS). The Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST) was employed to evaluate both the risk of bias and the clinical applicability of the included models.

Results

A total of 17 articles, encompassing 29 prediction models, were included. The incidence of aspiration was 9.45%–57.00%. Meta-analysis of high-frequency predictors identified the following significant predictors of aspiration: history of aspiration, depth of endotracheal intubation, impaired consciousness, sedation use, nutritional risk, mechanical ventilation and gastric residual volume (GRV). The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.771–0.992. Internal validation was performed in 12 studies, while both internal and external validation were conducted in 5 studies. All studies demonstrated a high risk of bias, primarily attributed to retrospective design, geographic bias (all from different parts of China), inadequate data analysis, insufficient validation strategies and lack of transparency in the research process.

Conclusion

Current risk prediction models for enteral nutrition-associated aspiration show moderate to high discriminative accuracy but suffer from critical methodological limitations, including retrospective design, geographic bias (all models derived from Chinese cohorts, limiting global generalisability) and inconsistent outcome definitions.

Implications for Clinical Practice

Recognising the high bias of existing models, prospective multicentre data and standardised diagnostics are needed to develop more accurate and clinically applicable predictive models for enteral nutrition malabsorption.

Patient or Public Contribution

Not applicable.

Trial Registration

PROSPERO: CRD420251016435

Impact of Ruminative Thinking on Breathlessness Catastrophizing With Elderly COPD Patients: The Mediating Role of Self‐Efficacy

ABSTRACT

Background

It is extremely significant to explore the relationship between ruminative thinking and breathlessness catastrophizing among elderly COPD patients. However, the impact of self-efficacy on this relationship is still unclear. This study attempted to explore the mediating role of self-efficacy between ruminative thinking and breathlessness catastrophizing.

Design

A cross-sectional study was reported following the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) guidelines.

Methods

This study was conducted between 10 November 2024 and 25 January 2025, with 225 patients. Data were collected using the valid and reliable instruments, including the Ruminative Response Scale (RRS), the COPD Self-Efficacy Scale (CSES) and the Breathlessness Catastrophizing Scale (BCS). Additionally, IBM SPSS v28.0 software was used to explore the mediating effect.

Results

The scores for BCS of most patients were at moderate and high levels. Scores for the RRS and CSES were significantly correlated with the BCS. The analysis of the mediating effect demonstrated that ruminative thinking has a direct predictive effect on breathlessness catastrophizing. Additionally, ruminative thinking can also predict breathlessness catastrophizing indirectly through the mediation of self-efficacy. The direct effect accounted for 64.4% of the total effect.

Conclusion

This research revealed that self-efficacy played a partial mediating role in the relationship between ruminative thinking and breathlessness catastrophizing. Specifically, patients who were trapped in ruminative thinking were more likely to experience heightened breathlessness catastrophizing, but this relationship was mitigated by their level of self-efficacy.

Implications for the Profession and/or Patient Care

This finding underscores the significant psychological burden that accompanies the physical symptoms of COPD in this demographic. It is imperative that nurses adopt a holistic approach in the management of elderly COPD patients.

Patient or Public Contribution

Voluntary patients with elderly COPD hospitalised in the pneumology department were included in the study.

Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Predicting Frailty Risk Among Older Patients With Ischaemic Stroke

ABSTRACT

Aim

To investigate the risk factors associated with frailty in older patients with ischaemic stroke, develop a nomogram and apply it clinically.

Design

A cross-sectional study.

Methods

Altogether, 567 patients who experienced ischaemic strokes between March and December 2023 were temporally divided into training (n = 452) and validation (n = 115) sets and dichotomised into frail and non-frail groups using the Tilburg Frailty Indicator scale. In the training set, feature selection was performed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and random forest recursive feature elimination, followed by nomogram construction using binary logistic regression. Internal validation was performed through bootstrap re-sampling and the validation set was used to assess model generalisability. The receiver operating characteristic curve, Hosmer–Lemeshow test, Brier score, calibration curve, decision curve analysis and clinical impact curve were used to evaluate nomogram performance.

Results

The prevalence of frailty was 58.6%. Marital status, smoking, history of falls (in the preceding year), physical exercise, polypharmacy, albumin levels, activities of daily living, dysphagia and cognitive impairment were predictors in the nomogram. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis indicated outstanding discrimination of the nomogram. The Hosmer–Lemeshow test, calibration curve and Brier score results confirmed good model consistency and predictive accuracy. The clinical decision and impact curve demonstrated notable clinical utility. This free, dynamic nomogram, created for interactive use and promotion, is available at: https://dongdongshen.shinyapps.io/DynNomapp/.

Conclusion

This nomogram may serve as an effective tool for assessing frailty risk in older patients with ischaemic stroke.

Relevance to Clinical Practice

The nomogram in this study may assist healthcare professionals in identifying high-risk patients with frailty and understanding related factors, thereby providing more personalised risk management.

Reporting Method

TRIPOD checklist.

Patient or Public Contribution

No patient or public contribution.

Non‐pharmacological interventions on quality of life in stroke survivors: A systematic review and meta‐analysis

Abstract

Background

Non-pharmacological interventions have been used in the rehabilitation of stroke survivors, but their effects on stroke survivors' quality of life (QoL) are unknown.

Aim

This review aimed to summarize the existing evidence regarding non-pharmacological interventions for QoL in stroke survivors and to evaluate the effectiveness of different types of interventions.

Methods

We systematically searched databases including PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Chinese BioMedical Literature Database, China Science and Technology Journal Database, and Wanfang data from the earliest available records to March 2023. Randomized controlled trials which explored the effects of non-pharmacological interventions on QoL in stroke patients were included. The meta-analysis was conducted to evaluate the effectiveness of different interventions on QoL. The Review Manager 5.3 was used to conduct the meta-analysis and the revised Cochrane risk-of-bias tool was used to assess the methodological quality of trials.

Results

A total of 93,245 records were identified, and 34 articles were reviewed and summarized, of which 20 articles were included in the meta-analysis. The summary of the findings of the included studies revealed fitness training, constraint-induced movement therapy (CIMT), physical exercise, music therapy (MT), and art-based interventions may have positive effects on QoL. The fitness training improved total QoL, especially in physical domains including physical functioning (mean difference [MD] = 10.90; 95% CI [7.20, 14.59]), role physical (MD = 10.63; 95% CI [6.71, 14.55]), and global health (MD = 8.76; 95% CI [5.14, 12.38]). The CIMT had a slight effect on general QoL (standardized mean difference [SMD] = 0.48, 95% CI [0.16, 0.80]), whereas significantly improved strength (MD = 8.84; 95% CI [1.31, 16.38]), activities of daily living/instrumental activities of daily living (ADL/IADL; MD = 10.42; 95% CI [2.98, 17.87]), and mobility (MD = 8.02; 95% CI [1.21, 14.83]). MT had a positive effect on the mental health domain (SMD = 0.54; 95% CI [0.14, 0.94]).

Linking Evidence to Action

Our findings suggest that fitness training and CIMT have a significant effect on improving physical QoL, while MT has a positive effect on improving psychological QoL. Future studies may use comprehensive and multicomponent interventions to simultaneously improve the patients' physical, psychological, and social QoL.

Impact of evidence‐based nursing on surgical site wound infection after caesarean: A meta‐analysis

Abstract

We conducted this study to investigate the effect of evidence-based care on surgical site wound infection after caesarean section. A computerised search of PubMed, Embase, Google Scholar, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure and Wanfang databases for randomised controlled trials (RCTs) on the use of evidence-based care in caesarean section delivery was applied from the database inception to November 2023. Two researchers independently screened the literature, extracted data and performed quality assessment based on inclusion and exclusion criteria. Stata 17.0 software was applied for data analysis. Twenty-one RCTs involving 3269 caesarean sections were finally included. The analysis revealed the implementation of evidence-based nursing interventions was effective in reducing the incidence of post-caesarean section wound infections (OR = 0.29, 95% CI: 0.21–0.39, p < 0.001) and complications (OR = 0.29, 95% CI: 0.23–0.38, p < 0.001) compared with conventional care. This study shows that the application of evidence-based nursing in postoperative caesarean section care can effectively reduce the incidence of postoperative wound infection and complications and improve the quality of life, which is worthy of clinical nursing application and promotion.

Effects of enhanced recovery after surgery nursing program on the surgical site wound infection and postoperative complications in patients of gastric cancer: A meta‐analysis

Abstract

This meta-analysis systematically evaluates the impact of the enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) concept on surgical site wound infections and postoperative complications in gastric cancer patients. A comprehensive computerized search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, Google Scholar, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure and Wanfang databases for randomized controlled trials (RCTs), from database inception to November 2023, exploring the application of the ERAS concept in the perioperative period of gastric cancer surgery. Two researchers independently screened the literature, extracted data, and conducted quality assessments based on inclusion and exclusion criteria. Data analysis was performed using Stata 17.0 software. A total of 24 RCTs involving 2050 gastric cancer patients were included. The analysis revealed a significantly lower incidence of wound infections (OR = 0.23, 95% CI: 0.14–0.40, p < 0.001) and postoperative complications (OR = 0.20, 95% CI: 0.15–0.27, p < 0.001) in the ERAS group compared to the standard care group. This study demonstrates that the application of the ERAS concept during the perioperative period in gastric cancer surgery can effectively reduce the occurrence of wound infections and complications, thereby facilitating postoperative recovery.

Sternal wound infections following internal mammary artery grafts for a coronary bypass: A meta‐analysis

Abstract

The meta-analysis aims to evaluate and compare the sternal wound infections following internal mammary artery grafts for a coronary bypass. Examinations comparing bilateral internal mammary artery to single internal mammary artery for coronary artery bypass grafting were among the meta-analyses from various languages that met the inclusion criteria. Using dichotomous random- or fixed-effect models, the results of these investigations were examined, and the Odd Ratio (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) was computed. A total of 31 examinations from 2001 to 2023 were recruited for the current analysis including 181 503 personals with coronary artery bypass grafting. Bilateral internal mammary artery had significantly higher sternal wound infection (OR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.37–1.68, p < 0.001), superficial sternal wound infection (OR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.16–2.56, p = 0.007), deep sternal wound infection (OR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.41–1.86, p < 0.001), sternal wound infection in diabetics (OR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.16–1.90, p = 0.002), sternal wound infection in elderly (OR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.22–1.57, p < 0.001), sternal wound infection in pedicled preparation (OR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.30–2.23, p < 0.001) and sternal wound infection in skeletonized preparation (OR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.09–1.81, p = 0.009) compared to single internal mammary artery in personals with coronary artery bypass grafting. Bilateral internal mammary artery grafting is linked to a higher risk of impaired wound healing, particularly in diabetic individuals, elderly, pedicled preparation, and skeletonized preparation. Nevertheless, caution should be exercised while interacting with its values since examinations were performed by different surgeons with different skills on different types of personals.

Metabolic dysfunction‐associated fatty liver disease in the elderly with diabetic foot ulcers: A longitudinal cohort study

Abstract

This study aimed to explore the association between metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and ulcer recurrence risk in patients with diabetic foot ulcers (DFUs) through an ambispective longitudinal cohort. From December 2013 to December 2022, a total of 482 inpatients with DFUs (PEDIS grade 3 and above with a severe infection) were eligible for inclusion in this study. This was an ambispective longitudinal cohort study. All participants were followed up every 6 months for 9 years with a median of 36 months. According to whether having MAFLD or not, all subjects were placed into two groups: non-MAFLD (n = 351) and MAFLD (n = 131). The association between MAFLD and ulcer recurrence in patients with DFUs was then evaluated through multivariate Cox regression analysis, stratified analyses and Kaplan–Meier survival analysis. Throughout the follow-up period, out of 482 subjects with DFUs, 68 had ulcer recurrence (14.1%). Three Cox regression models were established for data analyses. In the model I (unadjusted), MAFLD was significantly associated with the ulcer recurrence rate in patients with DFUs (HR = 1.79; 95% CI = 1.097–2.92; p = 0.02). Model II (adjusted model I with gender and age) (HR = 1.781; 95% CI = 1.09–2.912; p = 0.021) and model III (adjusted model II with CVD, duration of diabetes and Cr.) (HR = 1.743; 95% CI = 1.065–2.855; p = 0.027) also showed that MAFLD was significantly related to the ulcer recurrence risk in patients with DFUs, respectively. Stratified analysis indicated that subjects aged ≥60 had a greater risk of ulcer recurrence in MAFLD than in non-MAFLD (HR = 2.31; 95% CI = 1.268–4.206; p = 0.006). Kaplan–Meier survival curve analysis showed that ulcer recurrence rate had a significant association with MAFLD (log-rank, p = 0.018). This study indicated a close association between ulcer recurrence risk and MAFLD in patients with DFUs, especially in the elderly (aged ≥60). Therefore, special attention should be paid to the elderly with both DFUs and MAFLD because they have a higher ulcer recurrence rate than other general populations in routine clinical practice.

Effect of continuous nursing on wound infection and quality of life in patients with cancer‐related stoma: A meta‐analysis

Abstract

A meta-analysis was conducted to comprehensively assess the effect of continuous nursing on wound infection and quality of life in patients with cancer-related stomas, providing an evidence-based rationale for the care of these patients. A computerised search of PubMed, Web of Science, Ovid, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, and Wanfang Data for randomised controlled trials (RCTs) on the effect of continuous nursing on wound infection and quality of life in patients with cancer-related stoma was conducted from the time the database was created to March 2023. The retrieved literature was screened, data were extracted, and the quality of the literature was evaluated according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria. Meta-analysis was performed using RevMan 5.4 software. Seventeen RCTs involving 1437 patients were included. Of the 1437 patients, 728 were in the continuous nursing group and 709 were in the control group. The results showed that continuous nursing significantly reduced the rate of wound infection in patients with cancer-related stomas (odds ratio [OR]: 0.30, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.16–0.53, p < 0.001) and improved their quality of life (standardised mean difference: 1.90. 95% CI: 1.32–2.47, p < 0.001). Available evidence suggests that continuous nursing for patients with cancer-related stomas can significantly reduce wound infections and improve their quality of life.

The effects of enhanced recovery after surgery on wound infection, complications, and postoperative hospital stay in patients undergoing colorectal surgery: A systematic review and meta‐analysis

Abstract

This study aimed to systematically evaluate the effects of enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) on surgical site infections, postoperative complications, and length of hospital stay in patients undergoing colorectal surgery. A comprehensive search was conducted of PubMed, Web of Science, Ovid, EMBASE, The Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), and Wanfang Data from database inception to April 2023 to identify relevant studies on the application of ERAS in colorectal surgery. Studies were screened, and data were extracted based on predetermined inclusion and exclusion criteria. Meta-analysis was performed using RevMan 5.4 software. A total of 22 studies, including 3702 patients (ERAS group: 1906; control group: 1796), were included in the final analysis. ERAS significantly reduced the incidence of surgical site infection (odds ratio [OR]: 0.49, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.34–0.69, p < 0.001), postoperative complications (OR: 0.33, 95% CI: 0.27–0.41, p < 0.001), and length of hospital stay (standardised mean difference: −1.22 days, 95% CI: −1.66 to −0.77 days, p < 0.001). These findings suggest that ERAS reduces the incidence of surgical site infections and postoperative complications and shortens the length of hospital stay in patients undergoing colorectal surgery. Therefore, ERAS should be promoted and applied in clinical practice.

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