To assess whether a medical telephone helpline and the use of a computer-assisted structured triage tool led to a reduction in demand for acute and emergency care in hospital emergency departments (EDs) or other ambulatory out-of-hour (OOH) services.
We conducted an ecological study using secondary data on outpatient care.
The study was conducted in 10 out of 16 federal states of Germany.
The analysis was based on ambulatory claims data for the years 2016–2020 by 11 Associations of Statutory Health Insurance Physicians (ASHIPs) covering more than 64% of the total German population.
The evaluated intervention comprised two components. The first was the introduction of a 24/7 medical helpline (116117), established to assist individuals with medical concerns in accessing appropriate care. The second component was the introduction of the computer-assisted triage tool SmED (Strukturierte medizinische Ersteinschätzung in Deutschland, Structured medical initial assessment in Germany) to support call-takers by suggesting medically relevant questions to identify red flags and determine the urgency of treatment and a possible treatment facility. For the analysis, approximately 3 years before and 1 1/2 years during the intervention were considered.
Main outcome was the effect on acute and emergency care which was measured as the number of personal doctor-patient contacts (1) in EDs (ED cases, data of 10 ASHIPs could be considered) and (2) in EDs or other OOH services (ED and OOH cases, data of 11 ASHIPs could be considered).
The analysis was limited by legal changes mandating intervention components across all study sites—leading to a loss of control groups and delayed implementation—and the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Across all ASHIPs and counties, the number of calls to 116117 and the number of SmED assessments showed a negative association with the number of ED cases (total change: 295.0 cases to 224.5 cases per 100 000 inhabitants, 116117 calls: r=–0.04; 95% CI –0.04 to –0.035; p≤0.001, SmED: r=–0.15; 95% CI –0.35 to 0.05; p=0.138) as well as with the combined number of ED and OOH cases (total change: 516.4 cases to 400.3 cases per 100 000 inhabitants, 116117 calls: r=–0.02; 95% CI –0.03 to –0.001; p≤0.01, SmED: r=–0.58; 95% CI –0.98 to –0.19; p≤0.01). However, the association between the number of SmED assessments and ED cases was not statistically significant. Moreover, the magnitude and direction of effects varied across ASHIPs. Sensitivity analyses restricted to time periods preceding the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic showed a non-significant negative association for 116117 calls and a significant positive association for SmED assessments with both ED cases and combined ED and OOH cases (ED cases: 116117 calls: r=–0.001; 95% CI –0.019 to –0.018; p=0.928; SmED: r=0.37; 95% CI 0.29 to 0.45; p≤0.001; ED and OOH services cases: 116117 calls: r=–0.03; 95% CI –0.06 to 0.003; p=0.077; SmED: r=0.34; 95% CI 0.20 to 0.48; p≤0.001).
Our findings indicate a trend suggesting that implementation of a 24/7 medical helpline may reduce the demand for acute and emergency care at EDs and OOH services, although clear evidence is lacking. The impact of SmED use remains inconclusive. Further research should ideally incorporate data linkage and controls and assess the effectiveness and efficiency of the triage process, as well as the quality of subsequent care at the individual level.
To describe the prevalence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) at the time of diagnosis of adult-onset type 1 (T1D) and type 2 (T2D) diabetes, in a recent cohort and compare to a previous cohort from the same region. Further, to explore factors influencing the prevalence of pre-existing CVD, including age, sex, body mass index (BMI) and C-peptide; in the later cohort also heart failure, hyperlipidaemia, tobacco use and physical activity.
Two prospective cross-sectional cohort studies compared.
All primary health care centres and hospitals in Kalmar and Kronoberg counties in Southeastern Sweden.
Adults with newly diagnosed T1D or T2D (classified by combination of islet antibodies and C-peptide) in 1998–2001 and 2016–2017.
Prevalence of hypertension and CVD at diagnosis of diabetes, and associations with beta-cell function, in two cohorts collected 15 years apart. Further, to explore factors influencing the prevalence of hypertension and CVD, and level of C-peptide.
In patients with newly diagnosed T2D, mean age-at-onset had decreased (66±14.1 years vs 63±12.6, p≤0.001) and mean BMI had increased (29.0±5.4 vs 31.4±5.8 kg/m2, p≤0.001). Prevalence of pre-existing myocardial infarction had decreased in both T1D (18% vs 7%, p=0.03) and T2D (25% vs 11%, p≤0.001). Pre-existing hypertension had increased in both T1D (23% vs 40%, p=0.01) and T2D (44% vs 61%, p≤0.001). C-peptide level was lower and was associated with several cardiovascular conditions in newly diagnosed T2D in 2016–2017 (p=0.048 p≤0.001).
Patients with newly diagnosed T2D were younger, with higher BMI, compared with 15 years earlier, a challenge for diabetes care. Prevalence of pre-existing myocardial infarction had decreased notably, in line with, but still less than in the general population; while pre-existing hypertension had increased, in both diabetes types. C-peptide was associated with several cardiovascular conditions in newly diagnosed T2D in the recent cohort, which warrants further investigation.