by Alicia A. Grima, Linda T. Hiraki, Shelly Bolotin, Andrew D. Paterson, Jennifer D. Brooks
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has infected millions of people worldwide. While most infected individuals who survive do so with no long-term consequences, approximately 10 to 70% develop long-term sequelae. Of particular concern has been the development of autoimmune diseases. Viral triggers for autoimmune disease have been thoroughly studied for previous viral infections and several recent studies have sought to investigate the link between SARS-CoV-2 and new onset autoimmune disease. Several reviews have also been conducted on the topic, however, many of these reviews are limited in focus, emphasizing biological mechanisms and case reports, as opposed to estimates of risk. Further, these reviews do not capture more recent cohort studies that have been published investigating the association between SARS-CoV-2 and new onset autoimmune disease. Therefore, there is a need for a more comprehensive and temporally updated systematically conducted review of the literature to address the question What is the risk of incident (i.e., new onset) autoimmune disease following a SARS-CoV-2 infection among adults (≥18 years)?. A systematic search of MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, and grey literature will be conducted, with results screened in duplicate in two stages: 1) Title and abstract screening and 2) Full text screening. A standardized data extraction sheet will be used on any studies passing through both stages of screening to extract details on publication, study population, exposure, and outcomes. Narrative and tabular synthesis of overall findings will be conducted, with diversity and heterogeneity of included studies discussed. If possible, a meta-analysis will also be conducted to combine findings of risk across the included studies. This protocol has been registered to PROSPERO (registration number: CRD42024594446).